Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Prediction, Pick and Preview, November 1 (11/1): MLB

Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Prediction, Pick and Preview, November 1 (11/1): MLB

Odds

Time 8:03 p.m. EST
Phillies money line +113
Phillies run line +1.5 (-150)
Astros money line -120
Astros run line -1.5 (+130)
Over / under 8

 

Key stats

  Philadelphia Phillies  Houston Astros
Record 97-78 114-57
Home / road record 52-34 54-30
Last 10 record 8-2 9-1
Streak L1 W1
Over / under record 89-79-7 63-96-12
Runs / game 4.61 4.36
Runs allowed / game 4.20 4.05

 

Preview

The Houston Astros and the Philadelphia Phillies will meet again to play the Game 3 of the World Series at the Citizens Bank Park on Monday. The Astros bounced back took the win 5-2 in Game 2 to tie the series 1-1. Framber Valdez pitched 6.1 strong innings allowing only 1 run.

 

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies get to this game with a 97-78 record and have won 7 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.61 runs per game. They're batting for .253 AVG, 747 runs scored in 1392 hits and 205 home runs, ranking #7 in offense in the league behind the NY Mets. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 46 home runs and 94 RBI while Alec Bohm is batting for .281 avg.

Defensively they are allowing 4.20 runs per game and rank #13 in the league. Zack Wheeler leads the team with a 2.82 ERA, 163 strikeouts and 12 wins recorded for the Phillies.

Probable Pitcher: Ranger Suarez (10-7, 3.65 ERA)

Suarez will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Phillies. Suarez pitched a perfect two-thirds of an inning and earned the save Sunday during Game 5 of the NLCS in a 4-3 win over the Padres. He has allowed 6 runs on 7 hits with 2 walks and 2 strikeouts in 3 innings versus the Astros in his career. He has been charged with the loss.

Houston Astros

The Astros get here with a 114-57 record and have won 9 of their last 10 games. They're averaging 4.55 runs and batting for .246 AVG, 737 runs scored in 1341 hits and 214 home runs, ranking #8 in offense in the league behind the Seattle Mariners. Yordan Alvarez leads the team batting for .304 avg with 37 home runs and 97 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.23 runs per game and ranking #2 in the league. Justin Verlander leads the pitching staff with a 1.75 ERA, 185 strikeouts and 18 wins recorded for the Astros.

Probable Pitcher:  Lance McCullers Jr. (4-2, 2.27 ERA)

McCullers Jr. will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Astros. He pitched five innings against the Yankees on Oct. 23. McCullers has given up three earned runs on 10 hits and three walks while striking out 13 over 11 innings in two postseason starts. He has given up 1 run on 6 hits with 1 walk and 5 strikeouts in 6 innings against the Phillies in his career. He has been charged with the loss.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Houston are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games.

Houston are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road.

Houston are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia..

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games.

Philadelphia are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

Philadelphia are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Phillies offense finally was dominated by Valdez and the Astros but they return home where they scored and average of 6 runs per game in their last 3 games there.  Ranger Suarez will take the mound for this game who pitched as a closer in his last appearence vs Padres but struggled in his last start vs Astros allowing 6 runs in 3 innings. The Astros have been on fire at bat as they have averaged 4.4 runs per game in their last 10 games.  Lance McCullers Jr. will take the mound who struggled in his last start in the postseason but dominated the Phillies earlier this season holding them to only 1 run across 6.1 innings. It's hard to go with the road team in the postseason but the Astros are on fire and have the better pitcher on the mound. Take the Astros.

PICK: Astros ML (-120)

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