Padres vs Pirates Prediction MLB Experts Picks 7/24

Padres vs Pirates Prediction MLB Experts Picks 7/24

© Kevin Sousa-USA TODAY Sports

 

Pirates vs. Padres: Comprehensive MLB Analysis and Predictions

On Monday, the San Diego Padres welcome the Pittsburgh Pirates to start a three-game series, promising baseball fans an exhilarating matchup. Let's dive into an in-depth analysis of both teams and our predictions for the game.

 

San Diego Padres: An Overview

The Padres, currently fourth in the NL West, hold a 48-52 overall record with a 25-23 home record. Remarkably, the Padres have a 22-13 record in games where they've hit at least two home runs, speaking to their power hitting capability.

Yu Darvish, carrying a 7-6 record and a 4.36 ERA, is set to start for the Padres. Despite a slightly higher ERA, Darvish has proven his skill with 105 strikeouts, indicating his ability to limit the Pirates' offensive threat.

Standout player Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the Padres with a .284 batting average, 23 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs, and 50 RBIs. Xander Bogaerts has also been in great form, going 14-for-41 with three doubles and a home run in the past 10 games.

 

Pittsburgh Pirates: An Overview

The Pirates are currently fifth in the NL Central with a 43-56 overall record and a 20-30 road record. The Pirates have excelled in games where they've recorded at least eight hits, securing a 30-13 record.

Rookie Quinn Priester is set to start for the Pirates. Priester has had a challenging start to his career with a high 11.81 ERA, offering an opportunity for the Padres' hitters.

Andrew McCutchen, with 12 doubles, 10 home runs, and 28 RBIs, is the top performer for the Pirates. Henry Davis also shows promise with a 12-for-33 record, including two doubles and three home runs over the last 10 games.

 

Prediction

Considering the overview of both teams, our team at KingPin.pro predicts that the game's over/under of 8.5 runs is the most promising bet. Here's why:

Firstly, the Padres are a strong hitting team, especially in games where they hit multiple home runs. Coupled with the fact that they will be facing a rookie pitcher with an unusually high ERA, this suggests a high-scoring game from the Padres' side.

Secondly, the Pirates, despite their struggles, have proven their ability to hit well in some games, particularly when they register at least eight hits. Considering this and the Padres' own pitching struggles as indicated by Darvish's relatively high ERA, there's a strong likelihood for the Pirates to contribute to the game's total runs.

Finally, both teams' recent performance also suggests a high scoring game. The Padres have outscored their opponents by 13 runs in their last 10 games, while the Pirates, despite a losing record, have maintained a solid run rate.

Pick: Over 8.5 runs

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