New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 31 (7/31): MLB

New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 31 (7/31): MLB

Credit: photo by  Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 1:35 p.m. EST
Yankees money line -265
Yankees run line -1.5 (-135)
Royals money line +215
Royals run line +1.5 (+115)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  New York Yankees  Kansas City Royals
Record 69-33 39-62
Home / road record 40-12 17-32
Last 10 record 5-5 3-7
Streak W3 L5
Over / under record 50-49-3 48-49-4
Runs / game 5.30 3.87
Runs allowed / game 3.32 5.01

 

Preview

The Kansas City Royals and the New York Yankees will play the 4th game of the series at the Yankee Stadium on Sunday. The Yankees outscored the Royals again 8-2 in the third game of the series. Aaron Judge became the second-fastest player in major league history to reach 200 career home runs.

New York Yankees

The Yankees get here with a 69-33 record and have won 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 5.3 runs per game. They're batting for .246 AVG, 525 runs scored in 818 hits and 168 home runs, ranking #1 in offense in the league. Aaron Judge leads the team and is batting for .292 with 42 home runs and 91 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.3 runs per game and rank #2 in the league. All-Star Nestor Cortes allowed two runs in five innings against the Royals and leads the pitching staff with a 2.53 ERA, 111 strikeouts and 9 wins recorded with the Yanks.

Probable Pitcher:   Jordan Montgomery (3-3, 3.50 ERA)

Montgomery will be on the mound in the 4th game of the series for New York. In 2.1 innings of work against the Mets, Montgomery suffered the loss after giving up five runs (four earned) on five hits and a walk while also striking out three. He is 0-1 with an ERA of 4.63 and 10 strikeouts in 2 appearances against the Royals in his career.

Kansas City Royals

The Royals get to this game with a 34-56 record and have lost their last 5 games. The team is averaging 3.87 runs per game. They're batting for .247 AVG, 379 runs scored in 818 hits and 79 home runs, ranking #26 in offense in the league behind the Los Angeles Angels. Bobby Witt Jr is batting for a .258 AVG. 51 RBI and 14 home runs.

Defensively they are allowing 5.01 runs per game and ranking #26 in the league. Brad Keller leads the team with a 4.18 ERA, 73 strikeouts and 5 wins recorded for the Royals.

Probable Pitcher:  Zack Greinke (3-6, 4.35 ERA)

Greinke will be on the mound in the 4th game of the series for the Royals. Greinke did not factor in the decision against the Angels on Monday, despite pitching five scoreless innings, allowing three hits and one walk while striking out five. He is 4-5 with an ERA of 4.99 and 62 strikeouts in 17 appearances versus the Yankees in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

Kansas City Royals are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games on the road.

Kansas City Royals are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees.

The total has gone OVER in 13 of NY Yankees' last 17 games against Kansas City.

The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Yankees' last 8 games at home.

Prediction

The Yankees offense continue to stay hot thanks to their All-Star Aaron Judge who's on fire. They'll go for the sweep by sending Jordan Montgomery to the mound who has struggled lately and the Yanks have lost in his last 5 starts. Zack Greinke will take the mound for the Royals who's coming from a solid start against the Angels but hasn't pitched more than 5 innings in his last 4 starts. With Montgomery struggling lately and the Yankees offense hot right now I think the best play is the over.

PICK: Over 8.5 (-110)

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