New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 30 (7/30): MLB

New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 30 (7/30): MLB

Credit: photo by  Jonathan Heasley-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 2:05 p.m. EST
Yankees money line -290
Yankees run line -1.5 (-145)
Royals money line +230
Royals run line +1.5 (+125)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  New York Yankees  Kansas City Royals
Record 68-33 39-61
Home / road record 39-12 17-31
Last 10 record 6-4 2-8
Streak W2 L4
Over / under record 49-49-3 47-49-4
Runs / game 5.30 3.87
Runs allowed / game 3.32 5.01

 

Preview

The Kansas City Royals and the New York Yankees will play the 3rd game of the series at the Yankee Stadium on Saturday. The Yankees outscored the Royals 11-5 in the second game of the series. Judge became the first big leaguer with 40 homers this season, smashed a grand slam for No. 41 and robbed a home run in right field.

New York Yankees

The Yankees get here with a 68-33 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 5.3 runs per game. They're batting for .246 AVG, 525 runs scored in 818 hits and 168 home runs, ranking #1 in offense in the league. Aaron Judge leads the team and is batting for .292 with 38 home runs and 82 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.3 runs per game and rank #2 in the league. All-Star Nestor Cortes leads the pitching staff with a 2.48 ERA, 106 strikeouts and 8 wins recorded with the Yanks.

Probable Pitcher:  Nestor Cortes (8-3, 2.48 ERA)

Cortes will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for New York. Cortes earned the win against the Orioles on Sunday, allowing no runs on six hits while striking out seven and walking none over six innings. He has a record of 1-1 with an ERA of 2.60 and 17 strikeouts in 4 appearances against the Royals in his career.

Kansas City Royals

The Royals get to this game with a 34-55 record and have lost their last 4 games. The team is averaging 3.87 runs per game. They're batting for .247 AVG, 379 runs scored in 818 hits and 79 home runs, ranking #26 in offense in the league behind the Los Angeles Angels. Bobby Witt Jr is batting for a .258 AVG. 51 RBI and 14 home runs.

Defensively they are allowing 5.01 runs per game and ranking #26 in the league. Brad Keller leads the team with a 4.18 ERA, 73 strikeouts and 5 wins recorded for the Royals.

Probable Pitcher:  Jonathan Heasley (1-5, 5.50 ERA)

Heasley will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Royals. Heasley landed on the shelf with shoulder tendinitis on July and will return Saturday after spending little more than the 15-day minimum on the IL. The right-hander threw 60 pitches across 3.1 innings during his lone minor-league rehab start, so he's likely to face some minor workload limitations in his first game back in the majors.

BETTING TRENDS

Kansas City Royals are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games on the road.

Kansas City Royals are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees.

The total has gone OVER in 12 of NY Yankees' last 16 games against Kansas City.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Yankees' last 7 games at home.

Prediction

The Yankees offense exploded in the 8th inning in the second game of the series to win the game 11-5 so it will be hard to stop them know. The Royals will send Jonathan Heasley to the mound who hasn't pitched in the major since July 9 where he allowed 5 runs in only 1.1 innings against the Guardians. Nestor Cortes will take the mound for the Yanks who is having a great season and already beat the Royals earlier this season. This game should be another blowout as I don't see Heasley stopping this power offense who just woke up from a long sleep. Take the Yankees.

PICK: Yankees -1.5 (-145)

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