New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 4 (10/4) MLB
- Wolfeofbetting
- Oct 4, 2022, 6:20:40 AM
Odds
| Time | 4:10 p.m. EST |
| Mets money line | -210 |
| Mets run line | -1.5 (-130) |
| Nationals money line | +170 |
| Nationals run line | +1.5 (+110) |
| Over / under | 8.5 |
Key stats
| New York Mets | Washington Nationals | |
| Record | 98-61 | 55-104 |
| Home / road record | 51-27 | 29-49 |
| Last 10 record | 4-6 | 3-7 |
| Streak | W4 | L2 |
| Over / under record | 84-68-7 | 74-76-9 |
| Runs / game | 4.72 | 3.77 |
| Runs allowed / game | 3.79 | 5.25 |
Preview
The Washington Nationals and the New York Mets will play their final series of the regular season at the Citi Field. The Mets were swept by the Braves in the weekend series and the Nats lost 3 of 4 games vs Phillies.
New York Mets
The Mets get here with a 98-61 record and have lost 4 their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.72 runs per game. They're batting for .257 AVG, 751 runs scored in 1391 hits and 164 home runs, ranking #5 in offense in the league behind the St Louis Cardinals. Jeff McNeil is batting for .326 AVG while Pete Alonso leads with 40 home runs and 131 RBI.
Defensively they are allowing 3.79 runs per game and rank #4 in the league. Chris Bassit leads the pitching staff with a 3.42 ERA, 167 strikeouts and 15 wins recorded with the NY Mets.
Probable Pitcher: Carlos Carrasco (15-7, 3.95 ERA)
Carrasco will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Mets. He allowed 4 runs in 6 hits across 3 innings pitched against the Marlins. Carrasco has a 2-2 record with an ERA of 3.86 and 24 strikeouts in 7 appearances against the Nationals in his career.
Washington Nationals
The Nationals get here with a 55-104 record and have lost 7 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 3.77 runs per game. They're batting for .251 AVG, 599 runs scored in 1324 hits and 130 home runs, ranking #25 in offense in the league, behind the Kansas City Royals. Joey Meneses has a batting average of .309, 11 home runs and 25 RBI.
Defensively they are allowing 5.25 runs per game and ranking #29, the second worst in the league. Josiah Gray leads the team with a 5.17 ERA, 152 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded for the Nationals.
Probable Pitcher: Cory Abbott (0-4, 5.11 ERA)
Abbott will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Nationals. Abbott was pounded by the Braves in his last start. allowing 5 runs (4 earned) over 5 innings pitched. He has an ERA of 1.00 and 5 strikeouts in 4 appearances versus the Mets in his career.
BETTING TRENDS
Washington are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games against NY Mets.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games on the road.
Washington are 3-10 SU in their last 13 games when playing on the road against NY Mets.
NY Mets are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets' last 9 games against Washington.
NY Mets are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home.
Prediction
The Nationals have struggled on the road this season as they're winning only the 37% of the time and have lost 10 of the last 13 games vs Mets in New York. Abbott will start for the Nationals who has struggled lately allowing 4 or more runs in each of his last 2 starts. The Mets have lost 4 of their last 5 games but they are only thinking about the playoffs. Carrasco will start for the Mets who has struggled in his last 2 starts but has dominated the Nationals. Even with the Mets having no interest on this series I don't expect them to lose 4 in a row. Go with the Mets.
PICK: Mets -1.5 (-130)
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