New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Game 2 Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 4 (10/4) MLB

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Game 2 Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 4 (10/4) MLB

 

Odds

Time 7:40 p.m. EST
Mets money line -280
Mets run line -1.5 (-120)
Nationals money line +225
Nationals run line +1.5 (+100)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  New York Mets  Washington Nationals
Record 98-61 55-104
Home / road record 51-27 29-49
Last 10 record 4-6 3-7
Streak W4 L2
Over / under record 84-68-7 74-76-9
Runs / game 4.72 3.77
Runs allowed / game 3.79 5.25

 

Preview

The Washington Nationals and the New York Mets will play their final series of the regular season at the Citi Field. The Mets were swept by the Braves in the weekend series and the Nats lost 3 of 4 games vs Phillies.

 

New York Mets

The Mets get here with a 98-61 record and have lost 4 their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.72 runs per game. They're batting for .257 AVG, 751 runs scored in 1391 hits and 164 home runs, ranking #5 in offense in the league behind the St Louis Cardinals. Jeff McNeil is batting for .326 AVG while Pete Alonso leads with 40 home runs and 131 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.79 runs per game and rank #4 in the league. Chris Bassit leads the pitching staff with a 3.42 ERA, 167 strikeouts and 15 wins recorded with the NY Mets.

Probable Pitcher:  Taijuan Walker (12-5, 3.59 ERA)

Walker will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Mets. Walker did not factor into the decision Wednesday, allowing three runs on six hits and two walks over five innings against Miami. He struck out eight. He has a 2-1 record with an ERA of 3.99 and 22 strikeouts in 5 appearances versus the Nationals in his career.

Washington Nationals

The Nationals get here with a 55-104 record and have lost 7 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 3.77 runs per game. They're batting for .251 AVG, 599 runs scored in 1324 hits and 130 home runs, ranking #25 in offense in the league, behind the Kansas City Royals. Joey Meneses has a batting average of .309, 11 home runs and 25 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 5.25 runs per game and ranking #29, the second worst in the league. Josiah Gray leads the team with a 5.17 ERA, 152 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded for the Nationals.

Probable Pitcher:  Paolo Espino (0-8, 4.30 ERA)

Espino will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Nationals. Espino took the loss Tuesday as the Nationals fell 8-2 to Atlanta, giving up four runs on five hits over five innings. He struck out five without walking a batter. He has a record of 2-0 with an ERA of 1.33 and 17 strikeouts in 8 appearances against the Mets in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Washington are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games against NY Mets.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games on the road.

Washington are 3-10 SU in their last 13 games when playing on the road against NY Mets.

NY Mets are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets' last 9 games against Washington.

NY Mets are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Nationals have struggled on the road this season as they're winning only the 37% of the time and have lost 10 of the last 13 games vs Mets in New York. Espino will start for the Nationals who was pounded in his last start but has been effective vs Mets. The Mets have lost 4 of their last 5 games but they are only thinking about the playoffs. Walker will start for the Mets who has struggled in his last 2 starts but has dominated the Nationals. The under has cashed in 5 of the last 6 games on the road for the Nats, go with the under.

PICK: Under 8.5 (-110) 

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