New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 15 (9/15): MLB

New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 15 (9/15): MLB

 

Odds

Time 7:20 p.m. EST
Pirates money line +210
Pirates run line +1.5 (+100)
Mets money line -260
Mets run line -1.5 (-120)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Pittsburgh Pirates  New York Mets
Record 55-88 89-55
Road / home record 27-45 46-26
Last 10 record 6-4 4-6
Streak W1 L1
Over / under record 64-70-9 73-64-7
Runs / game 3.60 4.69
Runs allowed / game 4.99 3.74

 

Preview

The New York Mets visit the Pittsburgh Pirates wil meet again to play a 4-game series at the Citi Field. The Pirates swept the Reds in their last series while the Mets were swept by the Cubs but are 2-1 vs Pirates this season.

 

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates get to this game with a 55-88 record and have won their last 4 games. The team is averaging 3.60 runs per game. They're batting for .221 AVG, 464 runs scored in 952 hits and 128 home runs, ranking #27 in offense in the league behind the Washington Nationals. Bryan Reynolds leads the team in home runs with 21, 48 RBI and batting for an average of .251.

Defensively they are allowing 4.99 runs per game and ranking #26 in the league. JT Brubaker leads the pitching staff with a 4.35 ERA, 137 strikeouts and 3 wins with the Pirates.

Probable Pitcher:  JT Brubaker (3-11, 4.36 ERA)

Brubaker will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Pirates. Brubaker allowed three runs on six hits, two walks and a hit batsman while striking out three over six innings in a no-decision versus the Cardinals on Saturday. He has a record of 0-1 with an ERA of 10.38 and 12 strikeouts in 2 appearances versus the Mets in his career.

 

New York Mets

The Mets get here with a 89-55 record and have lost 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.69 runs per game. They're batting for .257 AVG, 666 runs scored in 1237 hits and 145 home runs, ranking #7 in offense in the league behind the Philadelphia Phillies. Jeff McNeil is batting for .322 AVG while Pete Alonso leads with 33 home runs and 109 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.74 runs per game and rank #6 in the league. Chris Bassit leads the pitching staff with a 3.24 ERA, 153 strikeouts and 12 wins recorded with the NY Mets.

Probable Pitcher:   Carlos Carrasco (14-6, 3.80 ERA)

Carrasco will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Mets. Carrasco earned the win Saturday, allowing one run on four hits over six innings against the Marlins. He struck out six. He has a record of 1-0 with an ERA of 3.24 and 17 strikeouts in 3 appearances versus the Pirates in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Pittsburgh are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

Pittsburgh are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets.

NY Mets are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets' last 5 games against Pittsburgh.

NY Mets are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Pirates have won 4 games in a row but those wins were against the Reds one of the worst teams in the league. JT Brubaker will start for the Pirates who has been up and down this season and the Pirates have lost in 9 of his last 10 starts. The Mets struggled in their last series vs Cubs but they beat the Pirates 2 of 3 times the last time they met. Carlos Carrasco will get the ball who's coming from a solid start vs Marlins where he allowed only 1 run in 6 innings pitched. It's hard to believe that the Mets will lose 4 games in a row at home so I expect them to bounce back and win this game by 2 or more runs.

PICK: Mets -1.5 (-120) 

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