New York Mets vs Houston Astros Prediction, Pick and Preview, June 29 (6/29): MLB

New York Mets vs Houston Astros Prediction, Pick and Preview, June 29 (6/29): MLB

Credit: photo by Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 1:10 p.m. EST
Mets money line +108
Mets run line +1.5 (-150)
Astros money line -130
Astros run line -1.5 (+130)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  New York Mets  Houston Astros
Record 47-28 46-27
Home / road record 24-11 26-16
Last 10 record 5-5 7-3
Streak L2 W2
Over / under record 40-30-5 24-44-5
Runs / game 4.93 4.29
Runs allowed / game 4.03 3.43

 

Preview

The Houston Astros and the New York Mets will play the 2nd game of the series at the Citi Field in New York on Wednesday afternoon. The Astros beat the Mets 9-1 in the first game of the short series. In the first inning, Kyle Tucker hit a three-run home run. Yuli Gurriel also homered, Alvarez reached base five times, and Alex Bregman had three hits as Houston defeated the Mets for the third time in a row. Valdez (8-3) pitched eight scoreless innings while allowing six hits.

New York Mets

The Mets get here with a 47-28 record and have lost 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.93 runs per game. They're batting for .259 AVG, 365 runs scored in 647 hits and 71 home runs, ranking #3 in offense in the league behind the Los Angeles Dodgers. Jeff McNeil is batting for .328 AVG while Pete Alonso leads with 22 home runs and 69 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 4 runs per game and rank #9 in the league. Chris Bassit leads the pitching staff with a 4.01 ERA, 95 strikeouts and 6 wins recorded with the NY Mets.

Probable Pitcher:  Taijuan Walker (6-2, 3.03 ERA)

Walker will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Mets. Walker earned the win against the Marlins on Friday, allowing three runs on eight hits and two walks over six innings. He struck out five batters. He is 5-5 with an ERA of 5.04 and 67 strikeouts in 13 appearances versus the Astros in his career.

Houston Astros

The Astros get here with a 46-27 record and have won 6 of their last 8 games. The team is averaging 4.3 runs per game. They're batting for .238 AVG, 309 runs scored in 566 hits and 99 home runs, ranking #18 in offense in the league behind the Cincinnati Reds. Yordan Alvarez leads the team batting for .321 avg with 23 home runs and 56 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.43 runs per game and rank #3 in the league. Justin Verlander leads the pitching staff with a 2.22 ERA, 84 strikeouts and 9 wins recorded with the Astros.

Probable Pitcher: Justin Verlander (9-3, 2.22 ERA)

Verlander will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Astros. After limiting the NY Yankees to one run on four hits over the course of seven innings on Friday, Verlander (9-3) earned the win. He walked one and struck out three batters. He has a record of 2-1 with an ERA of 4.80 and 17 strikeouts in 3 appearances versus the Mets in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Houston's last 15 road games against the New York Mets.

Houston Astros are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against National League opponents.

Houston Astros are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games against New York Mets.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York Mets' last 7 games against Houston.

New York Mets are 13-3 SU in their last 16 games at home.

Prediction

The Astros beat the Mets for the 3rd time in a row this season with an outstanding performance from Framber Valdez who pitched 8 scoreless innings. They will now send their ace Justin Verlander to try to sweep the Mets. He hasn't faced the Mets since 2016 but he has been really good this season holding a 2.22 ERA. Taijuan Walker will start for the Mets and he has been decent this season but doesn't have good numbers against the Mets. I expect a close game but with the Mets struggling in their last 2 games to score I'll take the hottest team. Give me the Astros.

PICK: Astros ML (-130)

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