New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 12 (9/12): MLB

New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 12 (9/12): MLB

 

Odds

Time 7:10 p.m. EST
Cubs money line +240
Cubs run line +1.5 (+115)
Mets money line -300
Mets run line -1.5 (-135)
Over / under 8

 

Key stats

  Chicago Cubs  New York Mets
Record 58-82 89-42
Road / home record 28-40 46-23
Last 10 record 3-7 6-4
Streak L2 W2
Over / under record 58-69-13 72-67-7
Runs / game 4.07 4.69
Runs allowed / game 4.81 3.74

 

Preview

The New York Mets visit the Chicago Cubs will meet again to play a 3-game series at the Citi Field. The Cubs lost their last series against the Giants while the Mets beat the Marlins 2 of 3 times to take the series and are 3-1 vs Cubs this season.

 

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs get here with a 58-82 record and have lost 7 of their last 9 games. The team is averaging 4.07 runs per game. They're batting for .243 AVG, 568 runs scored in 1139 hits and 140 home runs, ranking #23 in offense in the league behind the Seattle Mariners. Patrick Wisdom is leading the team with 22 home runs and 58 RBI while Nico Hoerner has the better batting average with .291.

Defensively they are allowing 4.81 runs per game and rank #24 in the league. Keegan Thompson leads the pitching staff with a 3.97 ERA, 91 strikeouts and 9 wins recorded for the Cubs.

Probable Pitcher:  Javier Assad (0-1, 2.93 ERA)

Assad will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Cubs. Assad allowed four runs on five hits across 5.1 innings to take the loss Wednesday against the Reds. He walked one and struck out six.

 

New York Mets

The Mets get here with a 89-42 record and have won 4 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.69 runs per game. They're batting for .257 AVG, 666 runs scored in 1237 hits and 145 home runs, ranking #7 in offense in the league behind the Philadelphia Phillies. Jeff McNeil is batting for .322 AVG while Pete Alonso leads with 33 home runs and 109 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.74 runs per game and rank #6 in the league. Chris Bassit leads the pitching staff with a 3.24 ERA, 153 strikeouts and 12 wins recorded with the NY Mets.

Probable Pitcher:   Chris Bassitt (13-7, 3.18 ERA)

Bassit will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Mets. In the first game of Wednesday's doubleheader against the Pirates, Bassitt earned the victory after pitching seven innings while giving up just one run on five hits and a walk. He got 10 outs. He has allowed 2 runs on 8 hits with 2 walks and 5 strikeouts in 6 innings against the Cubs in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Chi Cubs are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games against NY Mets.

Chi Cubs are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs' last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets.

NY Mets are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 10 of NY Mets' last 15 games against Chi Cubs.

NY Mets are 14-5 SU in their last 19 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Cubs continue to struggle as they have lost 7 of their last 9 games averaging 2.7 runs per game on that strecht and will have a tough game against Bassit who has been pretty solid this season and the Mets have won in his last 8 starts. Javier Assad will start for the Cubs who was exceptional in his first 2 starts of the season but struggled against the Reds in his last start allowing 4 runs in 5.1 innings. With the Cubs struggling offensively I expect a low scoring game so the best play is the under.

PICK: Under 8 (-110) 

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