MLB Total Value Bets: Brewers vs Pirates 7/9

MLB Total Value Bets: Brewers vs Pirates 7/9

MLB Total Value Bets: Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates 7/9

Game Summary

The Milwaukee Brewers will host the Pittsburgh Pirates at American Family Field on July 9. Both teams find themselves in contrasting positions within their respective divisions. The Brewers, with a solid record of 53-38, are looking to secure their place at the top of the standings. They have showcased a balanced approach with strong hitting and reliable pitching. On the other hand, the Pirates have had a rollercoaster season with a 43-47 record, struggling to find consistency. This matchup presents an intriguing battle between a high-performing team and a side looking to find its footing.

Odds and Betting Lines

Market Odds
Over/Under 8.5
Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline -105
Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline -115

Pitching Probables

Pitcher W-L ERA Strikeouts
Colin Rea (MIL) 8-2 3.34 66
Undecided (PIT) -- -- --

Team Previews

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers have been a formidable force this season, thanks to their balanced approach. Their hitting lineup, led by William Contreras (.297 BA), has been consistent in delivering runs. Willy Adames has been another key player with 13 home runs and 58 RBIs. Their pitching staff, with an ERA of 3.76, ranks 9th in the league. Colin Rea, with an 8-2 record and a 3.34 ERA, has been one of the standout performers. The bullpen, with 32 saves, is tied for 2nd in the league, showcasing their ability to close out games effectively.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates have had a challenging season, struggling to find consistency in both hitting and pitching. Bryan Reynolds has been a bright spot, leading the team with a .278 batting average, 16 home runs, and 54 RBIs. However, the team’s overall batting average of .230 ranks 24th in the league. Their pitching staff, with a 3.92 ERA, ranks 13th, but the lack of a reliable closer has been an issue. The team’s 23 saves rank 15th in the league. The Pirates will need a collective effort to challenge the Brewers in this matchup.

Team Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Gary Sanchez DH Calf Expected to be out until at least Jul 9
J.B. Bukauskas RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 9

Pittsburgh Pirates

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Oneil Cruz SS Hamstring Probable for Jul 9

Betting Trends

  • The Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 home games.
  • The Pirates are 3-7 in their last 10 road games.
  • The under is 6-1 in the Brewers' last 7 home games.
  • The over is 5-2 in the Pirates' last 7 games against a right-handed starter.
  • The Brewers are 13-3 in their last 16 games against the Pirates.

Recent Games

Milwaukee Brewers

Opponent Score W/L
@ Los Angeles W9-2 W
@ Los Angeles L5-3 L
@ Los Angeles L8-5 L
@ Colorado L4-3 L
@ Colorado W3-0 W

Pittsburgh Pirates

Opponent Score W/L
vs New York W8-2 W
vs New York L3-2 L
vs New York L5-2 L
@ St. Louis L3-2 F/10 L
@ St. Louis W5-4 F/10 W

Team Rankings

Category Milwaukee Brewers Pittsburgh Pirates
Hitting 4th 24th
Starting Pitching 9th 13th
Relief Pitching 2nd 15th
Fielding 15th 15th

Significant Betting Stats

  • The Brewers are 13-3 in their last 16 games against the Pirates.
  • The Brewers have a 27-13 record at home.
  • The Pirates have a 21-23 record on the road.
  • The under is 6-1 in the Brewers' last 7 home games.
  • The over is 5-2 in the Pirates' last 7 games against a right-handed starter.
  • The Brewers have a team ERA of 3.76, ranking 9th in the league.
  • The Pirates' batting average of .230 ranks 24th in the league.
  • The Brewers' bullpen has 32 saves, tied for 2nd in the league.
  • The Pirates have 23 saves, ranking 15th in the league.
  • The Brewers have scored 439 runs, ranking 7th in the league.

Weather

The game will be played at American Family Field, which is an indoor venue. However, the weather outside is expected to be sunny with a temperature of 85°F.

Prediction

Pick: Over 8.5 runs

Upgrade to View Prediction

Given the recent form of both teams and their respective strengths and weaknesses, the over 8.5 runs seems to be a strong pick. The Brewers' strong hitting lineup and the Pirates' struggles with pitching create a scenario where runs could be plentiful. Additionally, the Brewers have consistently performed well at home, and the Pirates have shown they can score runs despite their inconsistencies. The trends also support this pick, making the over 8.5 a valuable bet.

Winnings $95,870
last 30 days winnings $26,800
Yesterday winnings $0
Top Sport MLB
W-L-D 1506 - 1295 - 105
Winnings % 51%
Winnings $91,965
last 30 days winnings $8,320
Yesterday winnings ($830)
Top Sport MLB
W-L-D 776 - 520 - 14
Winnings % 58%