MLB Total Betting Guide: Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians

- Lm Tipster
- Aug 1, 2024, 6:49:10 PM
MLB Total Betting Guide: Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians
Commence Time: August 2
Bookmaker: FanDuel
Photo Credit: None
1. Game Summary
The Baltimore Orioles (65-44) are set to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (65-42) at Progressive Field in Cleveland on August 2. This matchup features two teams that have been competitive throughout the season, with both vying for strong playoff positioning. The Orioles have shown a robust performance on the road, holding a 32-27 record, while the Guardians have been strong at home with a 34-25 record. Baltimore's offense has been productive, ranking 13th in runs with 491, while Cleveland's offensive prowess shines through with 553 runs, placing them 3rd in the league. The pitching matchup features Dean Kremer (4-7, 4.20 ERA) for the Orioles against Carlos Carrasco (3-9, 5.68 ERA) for the Guardians. Kremer aims to stabilize Baltimore’s rotation, while Carrasco looks to improve his struggles this season. This game is crucial for both teams as they continue to push for playoff spots in their respective divisions.
2. Odds and Betting Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over | -105 |
| Under | -115 |
| Point Total | 9.0 |
3. Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer (BAL) | 4-7 | 4.20 | 1.23 | 75.0 | 63 | 73 | 29 | 14 |
| Carlos Carrasco (CLE) | 3-9 | 5.68 | 1.40 | 95.0 | 106 | 79 | 27 | 17 |
4. Team Previews
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles have been a formidable team this season, ranking 1st in saves with 38 and 4th in team ERA at 3.64. Their hitting has been somewhat average, placing 17th in batting average (.241) and 22nd in hits (849). Key players include Steven Kwan, boasting a .332 batting average, and Jose Ramirez, who leads with 27 home runs and 87 RBIs. However, the Orioles have faced challenges recently, losing their last three games against competitive teams.
Cleveland Guardians
The Guardians have excelled in offensive output, ranking 4th in hits (960) and 6th in batting average (.255). They also have solid pitching, holding a team ERA of 3.78, which ranks 8th. The Guardians are led by Gunnar Henderson, who has a .285 batting average, and Anthony Santander, who has delivered 31 home runs and 73 RBIs. Their home record further strengthens their position, making them a tough opponent in Cleveland.
5. Team Injuries
Baltimore Orioles
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Westburg | 3B | Hand | Expected to be out until at least Sep 13 |
| Tyler Wells | SP | Elbow | Out for the season |
Cleveland Guardians
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee | SP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 5 |
| Alex Cobb | SP | Hip | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
6. Betting Trends
- The Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against teams with winning records.
- The Guardians are 5-2 in their last 7 games against AL East opponents.
- The Over is 4-1 in the Orioles’ last 5 games overall.
- The Under is 5-2 in the Guardians’ last 7 games at home.
7. Recent Games
Baltimore Orioles Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Texas | W 9-1 | W |
| @ Texas | W 8-4 | W |
| @ Texas | L 3-2 | L |
| @ Miami | L 6-3 | L |
| @ Miami | L 6-3 | L |
Cleveland Guardians Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs San Diego | W 7-0 | W |
| vs San Diego | L 7-0 | L |
| vs San Diego | L 2-1 | L |
| vs Detroit | L 8-2 | L |
| vs Detroit | W 5-4 | W |
8. Team Rankings
| Team | Hitting | Starting Pitching | Relief Pitching | Fielding |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles | 17th | 4th | 1st | 15th |
| Cleveland Guardians | 6th | 8th | Tied-5th | 18th |
9. Significant Betting Stats
- Baltimore is 65-44 against the spread this season.
- Cleveland is 65-42 against the spread this season.
- Baltimore has won 5 of their last 7 games when playing on the road.
- Cleveland has won 8 of their last 10 home games.
- Over is 58-40-11 in Baltimore's games this season.
- Under is 50-51-6 in Cleveland's games this season.
- Both teams are performing well against the total in the last month.
- Baltimore is 4-1 in their last 5 games overall.
- Cleveland is 5-2 in their last 7 games overall.
- The Orioles have a solid hitting average against right-handed pitchers.
10. Weather
Intermittent clouds, temperature: 80°F
11. Prediction
Pick: Over 9.0 runs
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