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MLB Spring Training Picks: Yankees vs Pirates Prediction 3/3

MLB Spring Training Picks: Yankees vs Pirates Prediction 3/3

 

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees: Spring Training Betting Preview

Introduction

The Pittsburgh Pirates take on the New York Yankees in a Spring Training matchup on March 3, 2025, at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida. The Pirates have been strong this spring with a 6-3 record, while the Yankees sit at 4-4. Pittsburgh enters as the underdog despite their hot start, making this an interesting betting opportunity.

Game Details

Matchup Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees
Date March 3, 2025
Time 4:35 PM EST
Location George M. Steinbrenner Field, Tampa, Florida
Weather Sunny, High: 73°F

Betting Odds

Team Moneyline Run Line Total Runs
Pittsburgh Pirates +140 OFF OFF
New York Yankees -175 OFF OFF

Team Analysis

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates have been one of the better teams in Spring Training, sporting a 6-3 record. Their offense has been consistent, scoring 47 runs across nine games. Key performers include:

  • Matthew Gorski: 3 HR, .400 AVG, 10 RBIs.
  • Jhonny Severino: 1.000 AVG, 2.000 SLG.

Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has been solid, holding a 2.66 ERA with a .234 opponent batting average.

New York Yankees

The Yankees enter at 4-4, showing both offensive firepower (14 home runs) and pitching stability (3.07 ERA). Notable contributors include:

  • Dominic Smith: 2 HR, .200 AVG, 3 RBIs.
  • Alexander Vargas: .667 AVG, .714 OBP.

The Yankees have been tough at home, winning four of their first five games in Tampa.

Starting Pitcher Analysis

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates have yet to confirm their starter, but their pitching staff has been effective, ranking among the best in Spring Training with a 2.66 ERA.

New York Yankees

The Yankees are likely to go with a rotation or bullpen arm, with no starter officially announced. Their pitching depth has been good, but they struggled in an 11-1 loss to the Braves on March 2.

Recent Performance

Pittsburgh Pirates

Date Opponent Result
3/2/25 Detroit Tigers Lost 10-4
3/1/25 Baltimore Orioles Won 5-2
2/28/25 Tampa Bay Rays Won 3-2
2/27/25 Minnesota Twins Won 12-1
2/26/25 Atlanta Braves Lost 9-4

New York Yankees

Date Opponent Result
3/2/25 Atlanta Braves Lost 11-1
3/1/25 Houston Astros Won 9-3
2/28/25 Toronto Blue Jays Won 6-3
2/27/25 Philadelphia Phillies Tied 7-7
2/26/25 St. Louis Cardinals Won 7-0

Head-to-Head Comparison

The Pirates and Yankees have not faced off in meaningful games recently, making direct comparisons difficult. However, Pittsburgh’s strong overall performance this spring suggests they are capable of an upset.

Against the Spread (ATS) Records

ATS records are less relevant in Spring Training, but the Pirates have performed well as an underdog, winning three of their four road games.

Betting Stats and Trends

  • The Pirates have won 6 of their last 9 Spring Training games.
  • Pittsburgh’s pitching staff holds a 2.66 ERA, significantly better than New York’s 3.07 ERA.
  • The Yankees have allowed 18 runs in their last two games combined.

Prediction

Pittsburgh has shown solid pitching and an ability to win on the road. The Yankees have been inconsistent and just suffered an 11-1 loss to Atlanta. With strong momentum, the Pirates present good value as an underdog.

Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline (+140)

The Pirates’ strong pitching and consistent offense make them a solid bet to pull off the upset against the Yankees.

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Methodology and disclosure

Historical Kingpin articles preserve original body copy, authors, and publication dates. Structured pick or odds modules appear only when the source article provides them.

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