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MLB Spring Training Picks: Yankees vs Pirates Prediction 3/3

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees: Spring Training Betting Preview
Introduction
The Pittsburgh Pirates take on the New York Yankees in a Spring Training matchup on March 3, 2025, at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida. The Pirates have been strong this spring with a 6-3 record, while the Yankees sit at 4-4. Pittsburgh enters as the underdog despite their hot start, making this an interesting betting opportunity.
Game Details
| Matchup | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees |
|---|---|
| Date | March 3, 2025 |
| Time | 4:35 PM EST |
| Location | George M. Steinbrenner Field, Tampa, Florida |
| Weather | Sunny, High: 73°F |
Betting Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Run Line | Total Runs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates | +140 | OFF | OFF |
| New York Yankees | -175 | OFF | OFF |
Team Analysis
Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pirates have been one of the better teams in Spring Training, sporting a 6-3 record. Their offense has been consistent, scoring 47 runs across nine games. Key performers include:
- Matthew Gorski: 3 HR, .400 AVG, 10 RBIs.
- Jhonny Severino: 1.000 AVG, 2.000 SLG.
Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has been solid, holding a 2.66 ERA with a .234 opponent batting average.
New York Yankees
The Yankees enter at 4-4, showing both offensive firepower (14 home runs) and pitching stability (3.07 ERA). Notable contributors include:
- Dominic Smith: 2 HR, .200 AVG, 3 RBIs.
- Alexander Vargas: .667 AVG, .714 OBP.
The Yankees have been tough at home, winning four of their first five games in Tampa.
Starting Pitcher Analysis
Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pirates have yet to confirm their starter, but their pitching staff has been effective, ranking among the best in Spring Training with a 2.66 ERA.
New York Yankees
The Yankees are likely to go with a rotation or bullpen arm, with no starter officially announced. Their pitching depth has been good, but they struggled in an 11-1 loss to the Braves on March 2.
Recent Performance
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 3/2/25 | Detroit Tigers | Lost 10-4 |
| 3/1/25 | Baltimore Orioles | Won 5-2 |
| 2/28/25 | Tampa Bay Rays | Won 3-2 |
| 2/27/25 | Minnesota Twins | Won 12-1 |
| 2/26/25 | Atlanta Braves | Lost 9-4 |
New York Yankees
| Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 3/2/25 | Atlanta Braves | Lost 11-1 |
| 3/1/25 | Houston Astros | Won 9-3 |
| 2/28/25 | Toronto Blue Jays | Won 6-3 |
| 2/27/25 | Philadelphia Phillies | Tied 7-7 |
| 2/26/25 | St. Louis Cardinals | Won 7-0 |
Head-to-Head Comparison
The Pirates and Yankees have not faced off in meaningful games recently, making direct comparisons difficult. However, Pittsburgh’s strong overall performance this spring suggests they are capable of an upset.
Against the Spread (ATS) Records
ATS records are less relevant in Spring Training, but the Pirates have performed well as an underdog, winning three of their four road games.
Betting Stats and Trends
- The Pirates have won 6 of their last 9 Spring Training games.
- Pittsburgh’s pitching staff holds a 2.66 ERA, significantly better than New York’s 3.07 ERA.
- The Yankees have allowed 18 runs in their last two games combined.
Prediction
Pittsburgh has shown solid pitching and an ability to win on the road. The Yankees have been inconsistent and just suffered an 11-1 loss to Atlanta. With strong momentum, the Pirates present good value as an underdog.
Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline (+140)
The Pirates’ strong pitching and consistent offense make them a solid bet to pull off the upset against the Yankees.
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