MLB Spread Projections: Yankees vs Rays - 7/11
- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 10, 2024, 5:07:02 PM
MLB Spread Projections: New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays
Game Summary
The New York Yankees are set to face the Tampa Bay Rays on July 11 at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. This matchup features two teams from the AL East division with differing trajectories this season. The Yankees, currently holding a 45-46 record, are looking to gain some momentum after a series of mixed performances. On the other hand, the Rays, boasting a 55-38 record, have been one of the top teams in the league with a strong showing both at home and on the road.
The Yankees have struggled offensively, ranking 25th in runs scored, but their pitching has kept them competitive, especially with their bullpen ranking 5th in saves. Tampa Bay, meanwhile, leads the league in runs scored and has a well-balanced team with a solid 3.61 ERA, ranking 4th in the league. The game will feature Nestor Cortes for the Yankees, who has a 4-7 record and a 3.41 ERA, and Shane Baz for the Rays, who has limited action this season but holds a 4.50 ERA.
This game could be crucial for both teams as they aim to solidify their positions within the division. The Yankees need to bridge the gap to maintain playoff contention, while the Rays will look to maintain their stronghold at the top of the division.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| New York Yankees -1.5 | +130 |
| Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 | -156 |
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nestor Cortes (NYY) | 4-7 | 3.41 | 1.08 | 111.0 | 100 | 106 | 20 | 15 |
| Shane Baz (TB) | 0-1 | 4.50 | 1.33 | 6.0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
Team Previews
New York Yankees
Hitting: The Yankees have struggled offensively this season, ranking 25th in runs scored with 364 and 21st in batting average at .235. Yandy Diaz leads the team with a .270 average, while Isaac Paredes provides power with 15 home runs and 50 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been a strong point for the Yankees, ranking 5th in saves with 28. Their relief pitchers have consistently closed out games, keeping them competitive in tight contests.
Fielding: Defensively, the Yankees have committed 42 errors, ranking them 25th in the league. Improved defensive play will be crucial in their efforts to turn their season around.
Starting Pitchers: Nestor Cortes has been a reliable starter with a 3.41 ERA and 106 strikeouts in 111 innings. His ability to keep hitters off balance will be key in this matchup.
Tampa Bay Rays
Hitting: The Rays have been an offensive juggernaut, leading the league with 467 runs and ranking 11th in batting average at .248. Aaron Judge is having an MVP-caliber season, batting .308 with 32 home runs and 83 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: Tampa Bay's bullpen has also been strong, with 25 saves ranking them 8th in the league. Their ability to shut down games late has been a significant factor in their success.
Fielding: The Rays have committed 56 errors, ranking them 5th in the league for the fewest errors. Their solid defense has been a cornerstone of their winning formula.
Starting Pitchers: Shane Baz, despite limited action, has shown promise with a 4.50 ERA and a WHIP of 1.33. His ability to control the game early will be crucial against a struggling Yankees lineup.
Team Injuries
New York Yankees
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Stanton | DH | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Jul 23 |
| Lou Trivino | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
Tampa Bay Rays
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Rasmussen | SP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
| Wander Franco | SS | Personal | Out for the season |
Betting Trends
- Yankees are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- Rays are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- Yankees are 21-21 on the road this season.
- Rays are 25-19 at home this season.
- Yankees have hit the over in 49 of their games this season.
- Rays have hit the over in 45 of their games this season.
- Yankees are 47-46 against the spread this season.
- Rays are 44-47 against the spread this season.
- Yankees are 55-38 on the moneyline this season.
- Rays are 45-46 on the moneyline this season.
Recent Games
New York Yankees
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Houston | 5-4 | W |
| @ Houston | 7-1 | W |
| @ Houston | 5-3 | W |
| @ Houston | 4-3 | W |
| @ Arizona | 5-2 | W |
Tampa Bay Rays
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Texas | 3-0 | L |
| @ Texas | 4-3 | L |
| @ Texas | 13-2 | L |
| vs New York | 5-3 | W |
| @ Kansas City | 5-1 | W |
Team Rankings
| Category | New York Yankees | Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 21st | 11th |
| Starting Pitching | 23rd | 4th |
| Relief Pitching | 5th | 8th |
| Fielding | 25th | 5th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Yankees are 21-21 on the road this season.
- Rays are 25-19 at home this season.
- Yankees have hit the over in 49 of their games this season.
- Rays have hit the over in 45 of their games this season.
- Yankees are 47-46 against the spread this season.
- Rays are 44-47 against the spread this season.
- Yankees are 55-38 on the moneyline this season.
- Rays are 45-46 on the moneyline this season.
- Yankees have committed 42 errors this season.
- Rays have committed 56 errors this season.
Weather
The game will be played indoors at Tropicana Field, so weather conditions will not be a factor. However, outside the stadium, it is expected to be cloudy with a temperature of 85°F.
Prediction
Pick: New York Yankees -1.5 (+130)
The Yankees have shown resilience on the road and with Nestor Cortes on the mound, they have a reliable pitcher who can keep the Rays' potent offense in check. Despite their struggles offensively, the Yankees' bullpen gives them a slight edge in close games. The Rays' recent form has been inconsistent, and with Shane Baz's limited experience this season, the Yankees have a good opportunity to cover the spread.
