MLB Spread Lines Today: Yankees vs Rays - 7/10

- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 9, 2024, 7:04:23 PM
© Kim Klement Neitzel-USA TODAY Sports
MLB Spread Lines Today: New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays - 7/10
Game Summary
The New York Yankees will face off against the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida, on July 10. This matchup features two competitive teams from the AL East. The Yankees have a record of 44-46, while the Rays stand strong with a 55-37 record. The Yankees are looking to improve their standings as they try to close the gap in the division. On the other hand, the Rays aim to solidify their position at the top of the division. The game will be played indoors, so weather conditions won't be a factor.
This game promises an intriguing pitching duel. For the Yankees, Marcus Stroman will take the mound, boasting a 7-4 record and a 3.58 ERA. The Rays will counter with Zach Eflin, who has a 5-5 record with a 4.19 ERA. Both pitchers have the capability to dominate the game, making it a potentially low-scoring affair.
Offensively, the Rays have the edge, ranking tied for 1st in runs scored with 464, while the Yankees have struggled, ranking tied for 25th with 359 runs. The Rays also have a better team batting average at .248 compared to the Yankees' .235. Defensively, the Rays hold a slight advantage with a team ERA of 3.59, ranked 5th in the league, while the Yankees' team ERA of 4.36 is ranked 24th.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 8.5 |
| New York Yankees Spread | -1.5 (+146) |
| Tampa Bay Rays Spread | +1.5 (-176) |
| New York Yankees Moneyline | -110 |
| Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline | -110 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Stroman (NYY) | 7-4 | 3.58 | 1.29 | 100.2 | 85 | 76 | 45 | 15 |
| Zach Eflin (TB) | 5-5 | 4.19 | 1.15 | 92.1 | 98 | 72 | 8 | 13 |
Team Previews
New York Yankees
Hitting: The Yankees have struggled offensively this season, ranking 21st in batting average at .235 and tied for 25th in runs scored with 359. Their leader in batting average is Yandy Diaz, hitting .270. Giancarlo Stanton's absence due to a hamstring injury has also impacted their offensive output.
Relief Pitching: The Yankees' bullpen has been a mixed bag, with closer Clay Holmes securing 27 saves, ranking tied for 5th in the league. However, their team ERA stands at 4.36, ranked 24th, indicating inconsistency in their relief pitching.
Fielding: Defensively, the Yankees have committed 42 errors, ranking tied for 24th in the league. Their fielding has been an area of concern, contributing to their struggles.
Starting Pitchers: Marcus Stroman leads the rotation with a 7-4 record and a 3.58 ERA. His ability to keep hitters off balance with his mix of pitches makes him a key player for the Yankees.
Tampa Bay Rays
Hitting: The Rays have been one of the top offensive teams, leading the league in runs scored with 464 and ranking 10th in batting average at .248. Aaron Judge has been a standout performer, leading the team with a .308 batting average, 32 home runs, and 83 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Rays' bullpen has been solid, with Pete Fairbanks securing 14 saves. Their team ERA of 3.59 ranks 5th in the league, showcasing their depth and effectiveness.
Fielding: Defensively, the Rays have committed 55 errors, ranking 5th in the league. Their strong fielding has been a key factor in their success this season.
Starting Pitchers: Zach Eflin has a 5-5 record with a 4.19 ERA. He has shown flashes of brilliance but has struggled with consistency. The Rays will need him to be at his best against the Yankees.
Team Injuries
New York Yankees
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Stanton | DH | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Jul 21 |
| Nick Burdi | RP | Hip | Expected to be out until at least Jul 23 |
Tampa Bay Rays
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Rasmussen | SP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
Betting Trends
- The Yankees are 47-45 against the spread this season.
- The Rays are 43-47 against the spread this season.
- The Yankees are 55-37 on the moneyline this season.
- The Rays are 44-46 on the moneyline this season.
- The Yankees have an over/under record of 48-40-4.
- The Rays have an over/under record of 44-44-2.
- The Yankees are 21-21 on the road this season.
- The Rays are 25-19 at home this season.
- The Yankees are 20-21 in night games this season.
- The Rays are 23-23 in night games this season.
Recent Games
New York Yankees
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Texas | 2-13 | L |
| @ Texas | 3-4 | L |
| @ Texas | 0-3 | L |
| @ Kansas City | 4-10 | W |
| @ Kansas City | 2-4 | L |
Tampa Bay Rays
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Texas | 13-2 | W |
| @ Texas | 4-3 | W |
| @ Texas | 3-0 | W |
| @ Kansas City | 10-8 | W |
| @ Kansas City | 2-4 | L |
Team Rankings
| Category | New York Yankees | Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 21st | 10th |
| Starting Pitching | 24th | 5th |
| Relief Pitching | 5th | 8th |
| Fielding | 24th | 5th |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Yankees are 47-45 against the spread this season.
- The Rays are 43-47 against the spread this season.
- The Yankees are 55-37 on the moneyline this season.
- The Rays are 44-46 on the moneyline this season.
- The Yankees have an over/under record of 48-40-4.
- The Rays have an over/under record of 44-44-2.
- The Yankees are 21-21 on the road this season.
- The Rays are 25-19 at home this season.
- The Yankees are 20-21 in night games this season.
- The Rays are 23-23 in night games this season.
Weather
The game will be played indoors at Tropicana Field, so weather conditions will not be a factor.
Prediction
Pick: Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 (-176)
The Tampa Bay Rays have been the more consistent team this season, both offensively and defensively. With a better record and a stronger pitching staff, the Rays are well-positioned to keep the game close or even win outright. The Yankees have struggled offensively and defensively, which could be exploited by the Rays. Taking the Rays +1.5 spread offers a safer bet given their form and home-field advantage.


