MLB Best Bets and Player Props – Thursday, July 31, 2025

 

 

 

 

Rays vs. Yankees – 11:05 AM ET

 

 

Pitching Matchup: Ryan Pepiot (TB, 6-8, 3.42 ERA) vs. Marcus Stroman (NYY, 2-2, 6.09 ERA)

 

Best Bet: Rays Moneyline (-115)

Explanation: The Rays are sending Pepiot to the mound, who has been steady with a sub-3.50 ERA, while the Yankees counter with Stroman, who has struggled mightily with a 6.09 ERA. Tampa Bay has the slight edge on the mound and better form coming into this one.

 

Player Prop: Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Total Bases

Why: Paredes has hit right-handed pitching well and Stroman has been vulnerable to extra-base hits. Look for Paredes to take advantage at Yankee Stadium.

 

 

 

 

Braves vs. Reds – 5:10 PM ET

 

 

Pitching Matchup: Carlos Carrasco (ATL, 2-2, 5.91 ERA) vs. Andrew Abbott (CIN, 8-1, 2.09 ERA)

 

Best Bet: Reds -1.5 Run Line (+115)

Explanation: Abbott has been dominant at home, and the Braves continue to struggle on the road. Carrasco’s inconsistency gives Cincinnati a clear edge.

 

Player Prop: Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Stolen Bases

Why: De La Cruz is always a threat on the base paths, especially against pitchers who allow high on-base percentages like Carrasco.

 

 

 

 

Rangers vs. Mariners – 7:40 PM ET

 

 

Pitching Matchup: Kumar Rocker (TEX, 4-4, 5.73 ERA) vs. George Kirby (SEA, 5-5, 4.50 ERA)

 

Best Bet: Mariners Moneyline (-180)

Explanation: Seattle has a stronger bullpen and the edge on the mound with Kirby over the inconsistent Rocker. At home, the Mariners are in a good position to take the series.

 

Player Prop: Julio Rodríguez Over 1.5 Total Bases

Why: Julio has been hot against right-handers and faces a hittable one in Rocker. He’s also due for a breakout game at home.