MLB Best Bets and Player Props for July 29, 2025
- Kingpin
- Jul 29, 2025, 5:16:17 AM
MLB Best Bets and Player Props for July 29, 2025
Here are today’s top MLB picks and player props with expert analysis for every game on Tuesday, July 29, 2025. Let's dive in.
Rays vs Yankees
Best Bet: Yankees -200
Max Fried has been dominant this season with a 2.62 ERA and an 11-4 record. Facing a Rays lineup that struggles against elite lefties, the Yankees have the edge at home with their ace on the mound.
Player Prop: Max Fried Over 6.5 Strikeouts
The Rays have one of the highest strikeout rates vs LHP, and Fried has cleared this line in four of his last six outings.
Blue Jays vs Orioles (Game 1)
Best Bet: Orioles -135
Charlie Morton is starting to show signs of consistency, and the O's have the offensive momentum at home. Uncertainty in the Jays' starting pitcher gives Baltimore the edge in Game 1.
Player Prop: Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Total Bases
Henderson has been on a tear in July and gets a favorable matchup vs a possible mid-rotation arm.
Blue Jays vs Orioles (Game 2)
Best Bet: Blue Jays -120
With Lauer on the mound (2.61 ERA), Toronto has the pitching advantage in the second game of the doubleheader. Orioles’ bullpen depth may be thin after Game 1.
Player Prop: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to Hit a HR
Guerrero crushes lefties and gets a soft matchup here. Good value at +400 range.
Diamondbacks vs Tigers
Best Bet: Tigers -145
Casey Mize has been strong at home, and the Tigers’ offense has been hot. Arizona’s road woes and Pfaadt’s inconsistency give Detroit the edge.
Player Prop: Riley Greene Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
Greene has been a consistent spark at the top of the lineup and thrives vs righties.
Rockies vs Guardians
Best Bet: Guardians -235
Logan Allen has been serviceable, and the Guardians are a tough matchup for the weak-hitting Rockies, especially on the road where they’ve been abysmal.
Player Prop: José Ramírez Over 1.5 Total Bases
Ramírez hits lefties well and should feast on Blalock’s mistakes.
Dodgers vs Reds
Best Bet: Dodgers -155
Glasnow has elite strikeout stuff and should dominate the Reds, who struggle with high-velocity right-handers. Dodgers' bats will back him up.
Player Prop: Mookie Betts Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
Betts is red hot and leads off with lots of opportunities to produce.
Braves vs Royals
Best Bet: Royals -130
Lugo has been reliable all season and faces a struggling Braves offense. Fedde’s high ERA on the road is a liability.
Player Prop: Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
Witt is always a threat on the bases and Fedde is slow to the plate.
Red Sox vs Twins
Best Bet: Red Sox -120
Giolito has turned in solid outings recently. With no clear starter for the Twins, Boston has the upper hand in the pitching matchup.
Player Prop: Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Total Bases
Devers continues to rake against right-handed pitching and gets a good park boost here.
Cubs vs Brewers
Best Bet: Cubs EVEN
Rea has been reliable and faces a Brewers lineup that’s middle of the pack vs righties. Good value on a toss-up game.
Player Prop: Cody Bellinger to Hit a HR
Bellinger has seen Priester well in the past and is due for a long ball.
Phillies vs White Sox
Best Bet: Phillies -200
Luzardo brings solid strikeout potential and should cruise past a weak White Sox team struggling at the plate.
Player Prop: Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
Harper dominates in interleague play and is in a favorable spot here.
Marlins vs Cardinals
Best Bet: Cardinals -175
Sonny Gray gives the Cardinals a huge edge over Alcantara, who’s been inconsistent all season long.
Player Prop: Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Total Bases
Arenado crushes sinkers and gets one from Alcantara here.
Nationals vs Astros
Best Bet: Astros -150
Valdez is the superior arm here and Houston should handle business at home against a Nationals team with few offensive threats.
Player Prop: Kyle Tucker Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
Tucker continues to drive in runs and is a strong play in favorable matchups.
Rangers vs Angels
Best Bet: Rangers EVEN
With Corbin on the mound and a deeper offense, the Rangers have the edge over the struggling Angels.
Player Prop: Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Total Bases
Semien excels against lefties like Kikuchi and has good splits in Anaheim.
Mets vs Padres
Best Bet: Mets -120
Manaea has been excellent in limited innings and offers better control than what the Padres’ bullpen can match without a confirmed starter.
Player Prop: Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
Lindor thrives in west coast matchups and should deliver value.
Pirates vs Giants
Best Bet: Giants -160
Verlander has struggled, but the Pirates are a low-power team that may allow him to rebound. Giants at home are the safer play.
Player Prop: Michael Conforto to Hit a HR
Conforto gets a soft-tossing lefty and has power upside at Oracle Park.
Mariners vs Athletics
Best Bet: Mariners -115
Logan Evans gives Seattle an edge against Severino, who’s had major control issues this season. Better bullpen and defense too.
Player Prop: Julio Rodríguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
Julio is on a tear and the A’s pitching staff won't contain him for long.
Enjoy the games and good luck with your bets!
