MLB Best Bets & Player Props for August 23, 2025

 

MLB Best Bets & Player Props – Saturday, August 23, 2025

 

 

 

 

 

Red Sox vs Yankees – 10:05 AM ET (MLBN)

 

 

Matchup: BOS (70–59) vs NYY (69–59)

Probable Pitchers: Garrett Crochet (BOS 13–5, 2.43) vs Will Warren (NYY 7–5, 4.25)

Line: BOS −130 | NYY +110 | Total: 8.5

 

Best Bet: Red Sox ML (−130)

Why: Crochet has been one of the best pitchers in the AL, while Warren has been more hittable. Boston’s offense has also been more consistent recently.

 

Player Prop: Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Total Bases

Why: Devers matches up well against Warren’s fastball-slider mix and is Boston’s most dangerous bat.

 

 

 

 

Blue Jays vs Marlins – 1:10 PM ET (MLBN)

 

 

Matchup: TOR (75–54) vs MIA (60–68)

Probable Pitchers: Jose Berríos (TOR 9–5, 4.00) vs Janson Junk (MIA 6–2, 4.04)

Line: TOR −145 | MIA +120 | Total: 8.5

 

Best Bet: Blue Jays −145

Why: Toronto is the stronger team overall, and Berríos has more experience in high-pressure situations. Junk has pitched well but faces a tough lineup.

 

Player Prop: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 HR

Why: Guerrero has been hot lately and should find a good matchup against Junk’s pitch-to-contact style.

 

 

 

 

Nationals vs Phillies – 3:05 PM ET

 

 

Matchup: WSH (53–75) vs PHI (74–54)

Probable Pitchers: Mitchell Parker (WSH 7–13, 5.83) vs Aaron Nola (PHI 1–7, 6.92)

Line: WSH +195 | PHI −235 | Total: 9.5

 

Best Bet: Over 9.5 Runs (−115)

Why: Both pitchers have been shaky, especially Nola, who has been uncharacteristically hittable. Expect runs on both sides.

 

Player Prop: Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 HR

Why: Schwarber thrives in hitter-friendly matchups like this and Parker is vulnerable to the long ball.

 

 

 

 

Royals vs Tigers – 3:10 PM ET

 

 

Matchup: KC (66–63) vs DET (77–53)

Probable Pitchers: Michael Wacha (KC 8–9, 3.34) vs Chris Paddack (DET 4–11, 5.10)

Line: KC +105 | DET −125 | Total: 8.5

 

Best Bet: Royals ML (+105)

Why: Wacha has been much steadier than Paddack, and Kansas City has been playing well enough to upset Detroit here.

 

Player Prop: Bobby Witt Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Why: Witt is KC’s offensive catalyst and should see plenty of chances against a hittable Paddack.

 

 

 

 

Rockies vs Pirates – 3:40 PM ET

 

 

Matchup: COL (37–92) vs PIT (55–74)

Probable Pitchers: Kyle Freeland (COL 3–12, 5.16) vs Mike Burrows (PIT 1–4, 4.46)

Line: COL +145 | PIT −175 | Total: 8.5

 

Best Bet: Pirates −175

Why: Freeland continues to struggle, while Burrows has shown flashes of promise. Pittsburgh’s bats should take advantage.

 

Player Prop: Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Total Bases

Why: Cruz is locked in at the plate and should thrive against Freeland.

 

 

 

 

Astros vs Orioles – 4:05 PM ET

 

 

Matchup: HOU (71–58) vs BAL (59–69)

Probable Pitchers: Cristian Javier (HOU 1–1, 3.38) vs Dean Kremer (BAL 9–9, 3.97)

Line: HOU +105 | BAL −125 | Total: 8.5

 

Best Bet: Astros ML (+105)

Why: Javier is regaining form, and Houston’s lineup has been stronger in recent weeks. Kremer has been solid but inconsistent against tougher teams.

 

Player Prop: Yordan Álvarez Over 1.5 Total Bases

Why: Álvarez is a matchup nightmare for Kremer and could easily leave the yard.

 

 

 

 

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