Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 21 (9/21): MLB

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 21 (9/21): MLB

 

Odds

Time 2:10 p.m. EST
Brewers money line +110
Brewers run line +1.5 (-160)
Mets money line -132
Mets run line -1.5 (+135)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Milwaukee Brewers  New York Mets
Record 78-70 95-55
Home  / road record 41-30 45-29
Last 10 record 7-3 7-3
Streak L3 W6
Over / under record 74-67-7 77-66-7
Runs / game 4.52 4.69
Runs allowed / game 4.32 3.71

 

Preview

The New York Mets and the Milwaukee Brewers wil play the 3rd game of the series at the American Family Field on Wednesday. The Mets took the win 7-5 on Tuesday's game to secure the series. The New York Mets overcame a four-run deficit to defeat the Milwaukee Brewers in the seventh inning thanks to a Lindor grand slam with two outs.

 

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers get here with a 78-70 record and have lost 4 of their last 6 games. They're averaging 4.52 runs while allowing 4.1 runs per game. They're batting for .236 AVG, 656 runs scored in 1138 hits and 199 home runs, ranking #9 in offense in the league behind the Toronto Blue Jays. Rowdy Tellez leads the team with 31 home runs and 83 RBI while Christian Yelich is batting for a .264 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 4.32 runs per game and ranking #17 in the league. Corbin Burnes leads the pitching staff with a 2.97 ERA, 219 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded with the Brewers.

Probable Pitcher:  Adrian Houser (6-9, 4.85 ERA)

Houser will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Brewers. Houser gave up five runs (four earned) on seven hits and four walks while striking out one over three innings in a 7-6 victory over the Yankees on Friday. He did not factor into the decision. He is 0-1 with an ERA of 4.50 and 6 strikeouts in 3 appearances versus the Mets in his career.

 

New York Mets

The Mets get here with a 95-55 record and have won their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.69 runs per game. They're batting for .257 AVG, 688 runs scored in 1279 hits and 152 home runs, ranking #5 in offense in the league behind the St Louis Cardinals. Jeff McNeil is batting for .322 AVG while Pete Alonso leads with 35 home runs and 115 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.71 runs per game and rank #4 in the league. Chris Bassit leads the pitching staff with a 3.32 ERA, 163 strikeouts and 14 wins recorded with the NY Mets.

Probable Pitcher:   Taijuan Walker (12-4, 3.42 ERA)

Walker will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Mets. Walker earned the win against the Pirates on Friday, allowing three runs (two earned) on five hits while striking out five and walking none over 7.1 innings.

 

BETTING TRENDS

NY Mets are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against Milwaukee.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets' last 6 games on the road.

NY Mets are 3-14 SU in their last 17 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games.

Milwaukee are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games against NY Mets.

 

Prediction

The Brewers were better offensively in the second game of the series but 5 runs weren't enough to beat the Mets. For this game they'll send Adrian Houser who has been up and down this season and allowed 4 runs the last time he faced the Mets. The Mets will send Taijuan Walker to the mound who has been pretty solid in his last 2 starts allowing 3 runs across 14 innings pitched. Every game is key for both teams right now, the Mets clinched a playoff spot but are still in the fight for the NL East crown so expect them to fight with all again. With the over cashing big time for these teams I think that's the play. Take the over.

PICK: Over 8.5 (-110) 

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