Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 20 (9/20): MLB

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 20 (9/20): MLB

 

Odds

Time 7:40 p.m. EST
Brewers money line +100
Brewers run line -1.5 (+140)
Mets money line -120
Mets run line +1.5 (-165)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Milwaukee Brewers  New York Mets
Record 78-69 94-55
Home  / road record 41-29 44-29
Last 10 record 7-3 6-4
Streak L2 W5
Over / under record 73-67-7 76-66-7
Runs / game 4.52 4.69
Runs allowed / game 4.32 3.71

 

Preview

The New York Mets and the Milwaukee Brewers wil play the 2nd game of the series at the American Family Field on Tuesday. The Mets defeated the Milwaukee Brewers 7-2 on Monday night to earn their first postseason berth in six years and Max Scherzer earned his 200th victory with a perfect game intact.

 

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers get here with a 78-69 record and have lost 3 of their last 5 games. They're averaging 4.52 runs while allowing 4.1 runs per game. They're batting for .236 AVG, 656 runs scored in 1138 hits and 199 home runs, ranking #9 in offense in the league behind the Toronto Blue Jays. Rowdy Tellez leads the team with 31 home runs and 83 RBI while Christian Yelich is batting for a .264 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 4.32 runs per game and ranking #17 in the league. Corbin Burnes leads the pitching staff with a 2.97 ERA, 219 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded with the Brewers.

Probable Pitcher:  Aaron Ashby (2-10, 4.58 ERA)

Ashby will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Brewers. Ashby landed on the injured list in late August due to shoulder inflammation but resumed mound work last week. He has an ERA of 6.75 and 7 strikeouts in 2 appearances against the Mets in his career.

 

New York Mets

The Mets get here with a 94-55 record and have won their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.69 runs per game. They're batting for .257 AVG, 688 runs scored in 1279 hits and 152 home runs, ranking #5 in offense in the league behind the St Louis Cardinals. Jeff McNeil is batting for .322 AVG while Pete Alonso leads with 35 home runs and 115 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.71 runs per game and rank #4 in the league. Chris Bassit leads the pitching staff with a 3.32 ERA, 163 strikeouts and 14 wins recorded with the NY Mets.

Probable Pitcher:   Carlos Carrasco (15-6, 3.70 ERA)

Carrasco will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Mets. Carrasco earned the victory Thursday against the Pirates, striking out 11 in six innings while allowing a run on four hits and two walks. He is 2-1 with an ERA of 3.12 and 34 strikeouts in 4 appearances against the Brewers in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

NY Mets are 6-13 SU in their last 19 games against Milwaukee.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets' last 5 games on the road.

NY Mets are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games against NY Mets.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Brewers couldn't do much against an outstanding performance from Scherzer in the first game of the series. For this game they'll send Aaron Ashby who hasn't pitched in 30 days and was pounded in his last start allowing 6 runs in 5 innings. The Mets will send Carlos Carrasco to the mound who has been pretty solid in his last 2 starts allowing only 1 run in each game. Every game is key for both teams right now, the Mets clinched a playoff spot but are still in the fight for the NL East crown so expect them to fight with all again. With the over cashing big time for these teams I think that's the play. Take the over.

PICK: Over 7.5 (-110) 

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