Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 6 (7/6): MLB

Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 6 (7/6): MLB

Credit: photo by Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 2:10 p.m. EST
Cubs money line +205
Cubs run line +1.5 (+100)
Brewers money line -250
Brewers run line -1.5 (-120)
Over / under 8

 

Key stats

  Chicago Cubs  Milwaukee Brewers
Record 33-48 47-36
Road / home record 16-21 20-16
Last 10 record 6-4 7-3
Streak W1 L1
Over / under record 40-38-3 42-36-5
Runs / game 4.39 4.62
Runs allowed / game 5.22 4.16

 

Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers and the Chicago Cubs will play the 3rd game of the series at the American Family Field on Wednesday afternoon. The Cubs dominated the Brewers in the second game of the series as they beat them 8-3. Seiya Suzuki homered for the second straight night. Hendricks left after three innings with a sore right shoulder but the Cubs bullpen stepped up in his absence.

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs get here with a 33-48 record and have won 5 of their last 7 games. The team is averaging 4.39 runs per game. They're batting for .249 AVG, 347 runs scored in 671 hits and 79 home runs, ranking #16 in offense in the league behind the Houston Astros. Patrick Wisdom is leading the team with 17 home runs and 45 RBI while Wilson Contreras has the better batting average with .280.

Defensively they are allowing 5.2 runs per game and rank #27 in the league. Keegan Thompson leads the pitching staff with a 3.41 ERA, 66 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded for the Cubs.

Probable Pitcher: Adrian Sampsons (0-0, 3.38 ERA)

Sampsons will take the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Cubs. In 5.1 innings versus Boston, Sampson gave up five runs (four earned) on eight hits while striking out four and walking one. He didn't factor in the decision. He hasn't pitched against the Brewers in his career.

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers get here with a 47-36 record and have won 6 of their last 8 games. They're averaging 4.6 runs while allowing 4.1 runs per game. They're batting for .238 AVG, 374 runs scored in 643 hits and 113 home runs, ranking #10 in offense in the league behind the Atlanta Braves. Willy Adames leads the team with 16 home runs and 45 RBI while Rowdy Tellez is batting for a .250 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 4.1 runs per game and ranking #12 in the league. Corbin Burnes allowed 1 run across 6 innings pitched recording the win against the Cubs. He leads the pitching staff with a 2.36 ERA, 124 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded with the Brewers.

Probable Pitcher:  Corbin Burnes (7-4, 2.36 ERA)

Burnes will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Brewers. Burnes struck out five batters in six innings of work against the Pirates, allowing one run on one hit and four walks. He has a record of 2-2 with an ERA of 3.60 and 75 strikeouts in 13 appearances versus the Cubs in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

Chi Cubs are 4-10 SU in their last 14 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chi Cubs' last 9 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee.

Milwaukee are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games.

The total has gone OVER in 11 of Milwaukee's last 16 games against Chi Cubs.

Prediction

The Cubs offense pounded the Brewers starter Jason Alexander with 6 runs in 5 innings but they'll have to face now one of the best pitchers in the National League and Cy Young winnner Corbin Burnes who has allowed only 4 runs in his last 20.2 innings pitched although the Brewers have lost in his last 2 starts against the Cubs. Chicago will send Adrian Sampsons to the mound who was pounded by the Red Sox in his last start. Expect the Brewers to bounce back with Burnes on the mound and win this series.

PICK: Brewers -1.5 (-120)

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