Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 4 (7/4): MLB
- Jul 4, 2022, 7:54:01 AM
Credit: photo by Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports
|Time||4:10 p.m. EST|
|Cubs money line||+126|
|Cubs run line||+1.5 (-145)|
|Brewers money line||-150|
|Brewers run line||-1.5 (+125)|
|Over / under||9|
|Chicago Cubs||Milwaukee Brewers|
|Road / home record||15-20||19-15|
|Last 10 record||6-4||7-3|
|Over / under record||39-37-3||41-35-5|
|Runs / game||4.39||4.62|
|Runs allowed / game||5.22||4.16|
The Milwaukee Brewers and the Chicago Cubs will meet again to play a 3-game series at the American Family Field. The Cubs won their last series against the Red Sox while the Brewers tied 2-2 against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
The Cubs get here with a 32-47 record and have won 4 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.39 runs per game. They're batting for .249 AVG, 347 runs scored in 671 hits and 79 home runs, ranking #16 in offense in the league behind the Houston Astros. Patrick Wisdom is leading the team with 17 home runs and 45 RBI while Wilson Contreras has the better batting average with .280.
Defensively they are allowing 5.2 runs per game and rank #27 in the league. Keegan Thompson leads the pitching staff with a 3.41 ERA, 66 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded for the Cubs.
Probable Pitcher: Justin Steele (3-5, 4.39 ERA)
Steele will take the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Cubs. Steele earned the win against Cincinnati on Wednesday, pitching five-plus innings and allowing one run on six hits and three walks while striking out six batters. He has a 1-2 record with an ERA of 3.70 and 24 strikeouts in 7 appearances versus the Brewers in his career.
The Brewers get here with a 46-35 record and have won 6 of their last 8 games. They're averaging 4.6 runs while allowing 4.1 runs per game. They're batting for .238 AVG, 374 runs scored in 643 hits and 113 home runs, ranking #10 in offense in the league behind the Atlanta Braves. Willy Adames leads the team with 16 home runs and 45 RBI while Rowdy Tellez is batting for a .250 AVG.
Defensively they are allowing 4.1 runs per game and ranking #12 in the league. Corbin Burnes allowed 1 run across 6 innings pitched recording the win against the Cubs. He leads the pitching staff with a 2.36 ERA, 124 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded with the Brewers.
Probable Pitcher: Eric Lauer (6-3, 4.02 ERA)
Lauer will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Brewers. On Wednesday, Lauer pitched 4.1 innings in a 5-3 victory over the Rays, giving up three runs on six hits and two walks. He did not factor in the decision. He has a 1-1 record with an ERA of 4.91 and 39 strikeouts in 6 appearances against the Cubs in his career.
Chicago Cubs are 3-9 SU in their last 12 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs' last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee.
Milwaukee Brewers are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Milwaukee's last 14 games against Chi Cubs.
The Cubs haven't been that bad lately as they have won 4 of their last 5 games and beat the Red Sox in their last series. They're 5-5 against the Brewers this season and have won in 2 of 3 times when Steele has pitched against them this season. The Brewers will send Eric Lauer to the mound who has been pounded in his last 4 games. They haven't been profitable against the spread at home with 14-20 record so far while the Cubs are 20-15 ATS on the road. Steele should keep this game close enough for the Cubs to cover the run line.
PICK: Cubs +1.5 (-145)
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