Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 5 (5/5): MLB

Credit: photo by Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

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Preview

The Miami Marlins and the San Diego Padres will play a 4-game series at the Petco Park. The Marlins lost their last series 0-3 against the Dbacks while the Padres tied a short 2 game series with the Guardians.

Miami Marlins

The Marlins get here with a 12-12 record and have lost 4 games in a row. The team is averaging .237 at bat scoring 4.08 runs per game and allowing 4.26 runs.  Jazz Chisholm Jr leads with 4 home runs, 19 RBI and batting for an average of .329. 

Pablo Lopez leads the pitching staff with 3 wins and a 1.29 ERA while he has struck out 30 batters so far.

Probable Pitcher: 

Jesus Luzardo (2-1, 3.10 ERA) will take the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Marlins. Luzardo allowed a run on two hits and four walks while striking out eight in five innings to earn the win over Atlanta on Sunday.

San Diego Padres

The Padres get here with a 16-9 record and have won 6 of their last 8 games. The team is averaging 4.76 runs per game with a .231 at bat while allowing 3.96 runs. Manny Machado is leading the team with 5 home runs and 18 RBI while Eric Hosmer has the better batting average with .378.

Joe Musgrove is leading the pitching staff with 4 wins and 1.97 ERA.

Probable Pitcher:

Nick Martinez (1-2, 4.12 ERA) will be on the mound for the Padres in the 1st game of the series. Martinez earned the victory during Thursday's 7-5 win over the Reds, allowing two runs on five hits across five innings. He struck out five and walked two..

BETTING TRENDS

Miami are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.

Miami are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Diego's last 9 games.

San Diego are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games.

Prediction

The Marlins are on 4 game losing streak but they have won their last 5 games on the road. The Padres have won 7 of their last 10 games and the offense continue to respond as they're averaging 6.5 runs per game in their last 8 games. However, Luzardo is the better pitcher here and should complicate things to the Padres for 5 or 6 innings. Nick Martinez was decent in his last 2 starts so I expect a low scoring game and I'm going with the under.

PICK:Under 7.5L (-110)

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