Marc Diakiese vs Rafael Alves Odds, Preview and Prediction, November 13 (11/13): UFC

Marc Diakiese vs Rafael Alves Odds, Preview and Prediction, November 13 (11/13): UFC

  • KV13
  • Kv13
  • Nov 11, 2021, 1:40:15 PM
Credit: photo by Per Haljestam-USA TODAY Sports
Time (Preliminary Card) 1:00 p.m. EST
Marc Diakiese money line -175
Rafael Alves money line +150


Key stats
  Marc Diakiese Rafael Alves
Height 5'10 5'8
Weight 155 155
Reach 73' 68'
Record 14-4 19-10
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 2-3 4-1




The Lightweight division plays host to an intriguing fight, as Marc ‘Bonecrusher’ Diakiese takes on Rafael ‘The Turn’ Alves. After reeling off two consecutive victories, Diakiese got tasked with fighting Rafael Fiziev. Unfortunately for Diakiese, Fiziev proved to be the better striker and took a decision victory. With fifteen months off since that fight, it will be interesting to see if Diakiese can return recharged. Meanwhile, Alves looks to taste UFC victory for the first time. This will be Alves’ second fight in 2021, as he faltered to Damir Ismagulov in his UFC debut. Prior to the defeat, Alves had won five consecutive fights.




This feels to me like a fight to wake up Marc Diakiese. When he first arrived in the UFC in 2016, there was a lot of hype surrounding him. Three straight UFC victories, two of which came via knockout, solidified that hype. However since then, Diakiese has lost four of his last six and has been relegated to fights against lesser competition. Not to discredit Rafael Alves, but with a 19-10 record heading in, he’s not exactly in good standings in the Lightweight division. However, Alves is a live by the sword, die by the sword type fighter. In twenty-nine fights, Alves has only been to the scorecards five times. If Diakiese can’t get up for this fight, Alves is going to overwhelm him.

As for a prediction, I have Diakiese winning. Despite the inactivity and disappointing tenure in the UFC, Diakiese has fought better opponents and is the overall better fighter. In fact, one can argue, Alves represents the ‘easiest’ fight for Diakiese since taking on Teemu Packalen in 2017. Regardless, Diakiese should be able to avoid the wild spurts of Alves, and technically pick him apart on the feet. Diakiese may also mix in some of his newfound wrestling, as he’s worked in a combined seven takedowns in his last two victories. In the end, I believe Diakiese wins via decision.


PICK: Marc Diakiese (-175)


Find more sports picks from the top sports bettors and MMA experts all in one place using our iOS and Google Play apps, as well as our other articles at  We are the home for MMA picks, sports picks and sports betting.

Winnings $16,019
last 30 days winnings $2,430
Yesterday winnings $0
Top Sport MLB
W-L-D 64 - 38 - 1
Winnings % 61%
Winnings $13,066
last 30 days winnings $0
Yesterday winnings $0
Top Sport NCAAB
W-L-D 21 - 5 - 2
Winnings % 75%