Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 4 (10/4): MLB

Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 4 (10/4): MLB

 

Odds

Time 8:10 p.m. EST
Phillies money line +165
Phillies run line +1.5 (-130)
Astros money line -200
Astros run line -1.5 (+110)
Over / under 6.5

 

Key stats

  Philadelphia Phillies  Houston Astros
Record 87-73 104-56
Road / home record 40-39 53-26
Last 10 record 4-6 5-5
Streak W3 L1
Over / under record 80-74-6 59-90-11
Runs / game 4.67 4.52
Runs allowed / game 3.74 3.23

 

Preview

The Houston Astros and the Philadelphia Phillies will play the 2nd game of the series at the Minute Maid Park on Tuesday. The Phillies beat the Astros 3-0 to clinch its first playoff berth in 11 years. Aaron Nola took a perfect game into the seventh inning and Schwarber homered. 

 

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies get to this game with a 87-73 record and have won 4 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.67 runs per game. They're batting for .255 AVG, 745 runs scored in 1385 hits and 205 home runs, ranking #6 in offense in the league behind the NY Mets. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 46 home runs and 94 RBI while Alec Bohm is batting for .281 avg.

Defensively they are allowing 4.01 runs per game and rank #10 in the league. Zack Wheeler leads the team with a 2.82 ERA, 163 strikeouts and 12 wins recorded for the Phillies.

Probable Pitcher:  Ranger Suarez (10-6, 3.37 ERA)

Suarez will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Phillies. Suarez earned the win over Atlanta on Thursday, allowing five hits and two walks while striking out four batters over six scoreless innings.

Houston Astros

The Astros get here with a 104-56 record and have lost 3 of their last 5 games. They're averaging 4.52 runs and batting for .246 AVG, 724 runs scored in 1312 hits and 210 home runs, ranking #8 in offense in the league behind the Philadelphia Phillies. Yordan Alvarez leads the team batting for .304 avg with 37 home runs and 96 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.23 runs per game and ranking #2 in the league. Justin Verlander leads the pitching staff with a 1.80 ERA, 175 strikeouts and 17 wins recorded for the Astros.

Probable Pitcher: Justin Verlander (17-4, 1.80 ERA)

Verlander will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Astros. Verlander did not factor into the decision Wednesday, allowing two runs (one earned) on six hits with one walk over seven innings against the Diamondbacks. He struck out eight. He has a 2-0 record with an ERA of 1.93 and 16 strikeouts in 2 appearances against the Phillies in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Philadelphia are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against Houston.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 10 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 13 games when playing on the road against Houston.

Houston are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games against Philadelphia.

 

Prediction

The Astros couldn't do much against a great performance from Aaron Nola as he held them to zero runs across 7 innings and the Phillies clinched the playoff berth. Justin Verlander will start for the Astros who has been insane lately but the Astros have lost in his last 2 starts. Ranger Suarez will start for the Phillies who has been solid in his last 2 starts but hasn't faced the Astros yet. Expect a low scoring as both starters will be dominant on the mound and these teams have no rush in winning a game now. Take the under.

PICK: Under 6.5 (-110)

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