Kingpin analysis

EASY EASY Money on this Spread - Brewers vs Cardinals 9/3

EASY EASY Money on this Spread - Brewers vs Cardinals 9/3

EASY EASY Money on this Spread - Brewers vs Cardinals 9/3

Game Summary

The Milwaukee Brewers will host the St. Louis Cardinals on September 3, 2024, at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. This matchup is crucial for both teams as they are in the midst of a competitive season. The Brewers are currently sitting at a solid 81-57, showcasing their strength and consistency throughout the year. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are trying to find their footing with a record of 69-69, struggling to maintain consistency in their lineup and performance.

The Brewers have been a formidable team at home, holding a 41-25 record, which reflects their strong performance in front of their hometown fans. Their batting lineup has been productive, ranking 5th in runs scored across the league with 668 runs. However, they’ve also faced some challenges, as they rank 28th with 57 losses. The Brewers’ pitching staff is another highlight, boasting a 3.63 ERA, which places them 3rd best in the league. Aaron Civale will be taking the mound for the Brewers, bringing a 5-8 record and a 4.59 ERA into this game.

On the other hand, the Cardinals have been battling inconsistency, particularly in their pitching rotation. They rank 18th in ERA with a 4.16, and their current starting pitcher, Steven Matz, has struggled this season with a 1-2 record and a high 6.18 ERA. The Cardinals have shown flashes of brilliance but have often faltered in key moments, leading to their current .500 record. Their hitting has been decent, ranking 12th with a .249 batting average, but they’ve scored only 572 runs, tied for 22nd in the league.

This matchup will be key for the Brewers as they look to solidify their playoff position, while the Cardinals will be aiming to finish the season strong and prove their mettle against a division rival. The historical matchup favors the Brewers, who have had the upper hand in recent encounters, making this game even more intriguing.

Odds and Betting Lines

Market Odds
Over/Under Not Available
Spread Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 / St. Louis Cardinals +1.5
Moneyline Brewers -170 / Cardinals +140

Pitching Probables

Pitcher W-L ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR
Steven Matz (STL) 1-2 6.18 1.73 27.2 37 17 11 3
Aaron Civale (MIL) 5-8 4.59 1.34 135.1 136 127 46 24

Team Previews

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers have had a solid season, particularly at home. Their hitting has been led by William Contreras, who boasts a .280 batting average and 29 home runs. Willy Adames has been a key player with 99 RBIs, showcasing his ability to drive in runs effectively. Defensively, the Brewers rank well with a solid fielding percentage, contributing to their overall success.

On the mound, Aaron Civale has had his ups and downs, but he brings experience and skill to the rotation. The Brewers' bullpen has also been effective, with 45 saves on the season, ranking them tied for 2nd in the league. With a strong lineup and solid pitching, the Brewers are positioned to continue their success.

St. Louis Cardinals

For the Cardinals, Masyn Winn has emerged as a bright spot with a .281 batting average, while Alec Burleson has contributed with 21 home runs and 72 RBIs. However, their overall offensive production has been a concern, particularly in crucial moments. The pitching woes, particularly for Steven Matz, have been evident, leading to struggles in maintaining leads and closing out games.

The Cardinals will need to find consistency in their pitching if they hope to compete effectively. With a ranking of 18th in ERA and a struggling bullpen, their path to victory hinges on improved performances from their starters and relievers alike.

Team Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Hoby Milner RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 3

St. Louis Cardinals

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Lance Lynn SP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 7

Betting Trends

  • The Brewers are 5-0 against the spread in their last 5 games against the Cardinals.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the Brewers' last 5 games.
  • The Cardinals are 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 games on the road.
  • The Brewers have won 4 of their last 5 home games.

Recent Games

Team Opponent Score W/L
Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis W9-3 W
Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati W6-0 W
Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco W5-3 W
Milwaukee Brewers @ Washington W8-3 W
Milwaukee Brewers @ Atlanta W10-0 W
Team Opponent Score W/L
St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee L9-3 L
St. Louis Cardinals @ New York W14-7 W
St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati W5-4 W
St. Louis Cardinals vs Tampa Bay W5-2 W
St. Louis Cardinals vs New York L6-0 L

Team Rankings

Team Hitting Starting Pitching Relief Pitching Fielding
Milwaukee Brewers 5th (668 R) 3rd (3.63 ERA) Tied-2nd (45 SV) Tied-14th (73 E)
St. Louis Cardinals Tied-22nd (572 R) 18th (4.16 ERA) 1st (46 SV) Tied-26th (62 E)

Significant Betting Stats

  • The Brewers are 80-57 overall this season.
  • The Brewers have a home record of 41-25.
  • The Cardinals have lost 4 of their last 5 games against the spread.
  • Milwaukee is 73-64 against the spread this season.
  • St. Louis is 67-70 against the spread this season.
  • The Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games overall.
  • The Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.
  • Milwaukee has scored the 5th most runs in the league.
  • The Brewers have the 3rd best ERA in the league.
  • St. Louis has struggled to score consistently, ranking 22nd in runs.

Weather

Partly sunny, with a temperature of 77°F.

Prediction

Considering the current form of both teams, the Milwaukee Brewers are expected to dominate this matchup against the St. Louis Cardinals. The Brewers have shown they can win convincingly at home, and with Civale on the mound, they have a solid chance of winning by at least two runs. The Cardinals, struggling with pitching and consistency, will find it tough to keep up. Thus, the spread of -1.5 for the Brewers appears to be a favorable bet.

Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5

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Methodology and disclosure

Historical Kingpin articles preserve original body copy, authors, and publication dates. Structured pick or odds modules appear only when the source article provides them.

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