Diamondbacks vs Twins Prediction MLB Picks Today 6/26

Diamondbacks vs Twins Prediction MLB Picks Today 6/26

© Bruce Kluckhohn-USA TODAY Sports

 

MLB Preview: Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

On June 26, 2024, the Minnesota Twins will face the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. This preview covers the teams' recent performances, pitching matchups, and key players.

 

Game Overview:

  • Date: June 26, 2024
  • Time: 6:40 PM
  • Location: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
  • Weather: 110°F, Sunny

Team Breakdown:

Minnesota Twins:

The Minnesota Twins come into this game with a 43-35 record, including a 20-19 record on the road. They are currently second in the American League Central division and have won their last two games.

Pitching:

Simeon Woods Richardson will start for the Twins. Woods Richardson has a 2-1 record with a 3.26 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 60.2 innings pitched. He has been solid for the Twins' rotation.

Recent Performance:

The Twins have shown resilience with recent wins against Oakland, demonstrating their ability to perform under pressure.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Carlos Santana (12 HR)
  • Batting Average: Carlos Correa (.304 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Carlos Santana (38 RBI)

The Twins are dealing with injuries to Brock Stewart, Zack Weiss, Chris Paddack, Justin Topa, and Alex Kirilloff, affecting their depth.

Arizona Diamondbacks:

The Arizona Diamondbacks hold a 38-40 record, including a 19-18 record at home. They are striving to gain ground in the competitive National League West division.

Pitching:

Ryne Nelson will start for the Diamondbacks. Nelson has a 5-5 record with a 5.18 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP over 64.1 innings pitched. He has struggled with consistency throughout the season.

Recent Performance:

The Diamondbacks have had mixed results recently, alternating wins and losses over their last few games.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Christian Walker (17 HR)
  • Batting Average: Ketel Marte (.277 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Christian Walker (50 RBI)

Arizona is managing injuries to Alek Thomas, Blake Walston, Zac Gallen, Miguel Castro, and Gabriel Moreno, which could impact their lineup depth.

Game Odds:

Team Moneyline Total Run Line
MIN (43-35) -120 o8.5 (-135) -1.5 (+140)
ARI (38-40) EVEN u8.5 (+115) +1.5 (-165)

Prediction:

Considering the pitching matchup and recent performances of both teams, the pick for this game is the Minnesota Twins on the moneyline (ML). Here’s why:

  • Pitching Advantage: Simeon Woods Richardson has been more effective with a lower ERA (3.26) compared to Ryne Nelson (5.18), giving the Twins a clear edge in starting pitching.
  • Offensive Consistency: The Twins' lineup, led by Carlos Santana and Carlos Correa, has shown more consistency in scoring runs compared to the Diamondbacks.
  • Recent Form: Minnesota has won their last two games, demonstrating momentum and confidence heading into this matchup.
  • Moneyline Value: At -120, betting on the Twins to win outright offers good value considering their recent form and pitching advantage.

Based on these factors, the Minnesota Twins on the moneyline (ML) is a solid pick for this game.

Pick: Twins ML (-120)

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