Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 15 (9/15): MLB

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 15 (9/15): MLB

Credit: photo by Richard Mackson-USA TODAY Sports

 
Odds
Time 10:00 p.m. EST
Diamondbacks money line +270
Diamondbacks run line +1.5 (+145)
Dodgers money line -345
Dodgers run line -1.5 (-170)
Over / under 8 (-110)

 

Key stats
  Diamondbacks Dodgers
Record 47-98 93-53
Road / home record 19-55 51-23
Last 10 record 2-8 7-3
Streak 2L 5W
Over / under record 79-61-5 62-75-9
Runs / game 4.19 5.05
Runs allowed / game 5.57 3.40

 

Preview

Tonight we have the Diamondbacks going up against the Dodgers. The Diamondbacks come into this game as one of the worst teams in the league. Their pitching and hitting has failed them miserably and they've struggled mightily on the road. They get Merrill Kelly back tonight but will still have a tough time taking on this Dodgers team who will be led my Julio Urias.  The Dodgers come into this game looking to pick up another easy win as they chase the Giants for the top spot in the NL West as they sit 2.5 games back. They sit in the top spot in the NL wildcard as a result and by the end of the season it will be between them and the Giants who gets that spot. They will look to pick up their 6th straight win tonight against a bad Arizona team. 

Pitching matchup

Diamondbacks

Merrill Kelly (7-9, 4.30 ERA) will toe the rubber for the Diamondbacks when they take on the Dodgers.  He enters this game wtih a 1.24 WHIP and 4.42 XFIP.  This season he carries a 19.7% strikeout rate along with a 5.2% walk rate.  Kelly will be making his first start since hitting the IL in August.  He had one rehab start on 9/3 where he went  4 innings, striking out 7 hitters, while allowing 2 earned runs.  Before hitting the IL Kelly was decent and was able to contain this Dodgers offense in his previous 3 times they met this year. Making his reutrn he will have his hands full facing a strong Dodgers offense.

Dodgers

Julio Urias (17-3, 2.98 ERA) will be on the mound for the Dodgers when they host the Diamondbacks. Urias comes into this game with a 1.03 WHIP and 3.94 XFIP. This season he carries a nice 27.1% strikeout rate along with a 4.4% walk rate. Urias has been fantastic this year, along with his high K rate and low walk rate he has been able to induce soft contact and keep hitters off balance and pick up 17 wins this season. In his last start against the Padres he threw 7 innnings, while striking out 7 hitters, while not allowing a run.  He should have his way with a weak Arizona team at home.

Prediction

I see Urias coming out and having another dominant performance against a weak Diamondbacks team.  He's backed by an elite offense facing an average pitcher and bad bullpen.  Look for the Dodgers to pick up their 6th straight win.

PICK: Dodgers -1.5 (-170)

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