Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 16 (8/16): MLB

Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 16 (8/16): MLB

Credit: photo by David Richard-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:10 p.m. EST
Tigers money line +180
Tigers run line +1.5 (-115)
Guardians money line -220
Guardians run line -1.5 (-105)
Over / under 8

 

Key stats

  Cleveland Guardians Detroit Tigers
Record 62-54 44-74
Home / road record 30-23 19-41
Last 10 record 8-2 2-8
Streak L1 W1
Over / under record 55-54-7 41-66-11
Runs / game 4.33 3.17
Runs allowed / game 4.15 4.38

 

Preview

The Cleveland Guardians and the Detroit Tigers will play the 3rd game of the series at the Progressive Field on Tuesday. The Tigers took the win 7-5 in the second game of the double-header to tie the series.  Jonathan Schoop and rookie Kerry Carpenter hit back-to-back homers in the sixth inning.

Cleveland Guardians

The Guardians get here with a 62-54 record and have won 8 of their last 10 games. They're averaging 4.33 runs and batting for .251 AVG, 496 runs scored in 983 hits and 90 home runs, ranking #16 in offense, behind the Houston Astros. Jose Ramirez leads the team batting for .285 avg, 22 home runs and 93 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 4.15 runs per game and ranking #12 in the league. Shane Bieber leads the pitching staff with a 3.18 ERA, 140 strikeouts and 8 wins recorded with the Guardians.

Probable Pitcher:

Zach Plesac (2-10, 4.32 ERA) will be on the mound for the Guardians in the 2nd game of the series. Plesac allowed one earned run on four hits and a walk while striking out seven across 6.1 innings Thursday against the Tigers. He did not factor into the decision. He is 4-2 with an ERA of 2.16 and 52 strikeouts in 10 appearances against the Tigers in his career.

Detroit Tigers

The Tigers get here with a 44-74 record and have lost 8 of their last 9 games. They're averaging 3.17 runs and batting for .225 AVG, 368 runs scored in 861 hits and 67 home runs, ranking #30 in offense, the worst in the league behind the Oakland Athletics. Miguel Cabrera leads the team batting for .267 AVG, Javi Baez is leading in home runs with 11 and 45 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 4.38 runs per game and ranking #19 in the league. Tarik Skubal leads the pitching staff with a 3.52 ERA, 117 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher:

Garrett Hill (2-3, 4.66 ERA) will be on the mound for the Tigers in the 2nd game of the series. Hill allowed three runs (one earned) on four hits and two walks while striking out one across five innings Thursday against the Guardians. He did not factor into the decision. He has a record of 1-0 with an ERA of 1.64 and 4 strikeouts in 2 appearances against the Guardians in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

Detroit Tigers are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games against Cleveland.

Detroit Tigers are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games on the road.

Detroit Tigers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games.

Cleveland Guardians are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games at home.

Prediction

The Tigers finally ended their losing streak after beating the Guardians in the 2nd game of the double-header and will try to win 2 in a row by sending Garrett Hill to the mound who has dominated the Guardians this season allowing 1 earned run in each of the 2 starts against them. Zach Plesac will take the mound for the Guardians who has struggled this season and the Guardians have lost in 5 of his 7 starts. The Tigers had give quite a fight to the Guardians this season as they're 9-9 in the 18 head to head games. Hill should be able to keep this game close enough for the Tigers to cover the spread.

PICK: Tigers +1.5 (-115)

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