Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 16 (8/16): MLB

Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 16 (8/16): MLB

Credit: photo by  Kareem Elgazzar/The Enquirer-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 6:40 p.m. EST
Phillies money line -185
Phillies run line -1.5 (-115)
Reds money line +153
Reds run line +1.5 (-105)
Over / under 9.5

 

Key stats

  Philadelphia Phillies  Cincinnati Reds
Record 64-51 45-69
Road / home record 32-25 25-35
Last 10 record 7-3 3-7
Streak W1 L1
Over / under record 55-54-6 57-55-2
Runs / game 4.65 4.20
Runs allowed / game 4.01 5.21

 

Preview

The Cincinnati Reds and the Philadelphia Phillies will play the 2nd game of the series at the Great American Ball Park on Tuesday. The Phillies took the win 4-3 in the first game of the series.  Noah Syndergaard won for the second time in three starts since being traded to Philadelphia, and Edmundo Sosa drove in three runs.

 

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies get to this game with a 64-51 record and have won 7 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.65 runs per game. They're batting for .250 AVG, 524 runs scored in 938 hits and 148 home runs, ranking #6 in offense in the league behind the Toronto Blue Jays. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 34 home runs and 69 RBI while Alec Bohm is batting for .293 avg.

Defensively they are allowing 4.01 runs per game and rank #9 in the league. Zack Wheeler leads the team with a 2.63 ERA, 137 strikeouts and 11 wins recorded for the Phillies.

Probable Pitcher:  Kyle Gibson (7-5, 4.29 ERA)

Gibson will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for Philadelphia. Gibson allowed three runs (two earned) on six hits and two walks while striking out three across six innings to take the loss Thursday against the Marlins. He hasn't pitched against the Reds in his career.

 

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds get here with a 45-69 record and have lost 6 of their last 7 games. The team is averaging 4.20 runs. They're batting for .239 AVG, 466 runs scored in 868 hits and 104 home runs, ranking #17 in offense in the league behind the Cleveland Guardians. Kyle Farmer leads the team with 51 RBI, 6 home runs and batting for .248 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 5.21 runs per game and rank #28 in the league. Tyler Mahle leads the pitching staff with a 4.40 ERA, 114 strikeouts and 5 wins recorded with the Reds.

Probable Pitcher:     T.J. Zeuch (0-1, 13.50 ERA)

Zeuch will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Reds. Zeuch will make his second straight turn through the rotation, but it's most likely due to the Reds' lack of appealing alternatives rather than him being based on merit. In his first big-league outing of 2022 last week against the Mets, Zeuch took the loss after giving up six earned runs on six hits and two walks over four innings.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road.

Philadelphia are 6-14 SU in their last 20 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati.

The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Cincinnati's last 16 games against Philadelphia.

Cincinnati are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games.

Cincinnati are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the National League.

Prediction

The Phillies bounced back and beat the Reds in the first game of the series and will have another good chance to get a win as the Reds are sending T.J. Zeuch who was pounded in his first start of the season against the Mets. Tyler Gibson will take the mound for the Phillies who has been solid in his last 3 starts allowing no more than 2 runs per game. Expect the Phillies to score easy against Zeuch and win this game by multiple runs.

PICK: Phillies -1.5 (-115)

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