Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 15 (8/15): MLB

Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 15 (8/15): MLB

Credit: photo by Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 6:40 p.m. EST
Phillies money line -185
Phillies run line -1.5 (-115)
Reds money line +153
Reds run line +1.5 (-105)
Over / under 9

 

Key stats

  Philadelphia Phillies  Cincinnati Reds
Record 63-51 45-68
Road / home record 31-25 25-34
Last 10 record 7-3 3-7
Streak L2 W1
Over / under record 55-53-6 57-54-2
Runs / game 4.65 4.20
Runs allowed / game 4.01 5.21

 

Preview

The Cincinnati Reds will host the Philadelphia Phillies to play a 3-game series at the Great American Ball Park. The Reds lost their last series against the Cubs and the Phillies lost 2 of 3 times vs Mets. This is the 1st time these teams meet this season.

 

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies get to this game with a 63-51 record and have won 7 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.65 runs per game. They're batting for .250 AVG, 524 runs scored in 938 hits and 148 home runs, ranking #6 in offense in the league behind the Toronto Blue Jays. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 34 home runs and 69 RBI while Alec Bohm is batting for .293 avg.

Defensively they are allowing 4.01 runs per game and rank #9 in the league. Zack Wheeler leads the team with a 2.63 ERA, 137 strikeouts and 11 wins recorded for the Phillies.

Probable Pitcher:  Noah Syndergaard (6-8, 3.96 ERA)

Syndergaard will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for Philadelphia. Syndergaard did not factor into the decision Wednesday, allowing two runs on six hits and two walks over six innings against the Marlins. He struck out four. He has a record of 5-0 with an ERA of 2.11 and 48 strikeouts in 6 appearances versus the Reds in his career.

 

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds get here with a 45-68 record and have lost 5 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.20 runs. They're batting for .239 AVG, 466 runs scored in 868 hits and 104 home runs, ranking #17 in offense in the league behind the Cleveland Guardians. Kyle Farmer leads the team with 51 RBI, 6 home runs and batting for .248 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 5.21 runs per game and rank #28 in the league. Tyler Mahle leads the pitching staff with a 4.40 ERA, 114 strikeouts and 5 wins recorded with the Reds.

Probable Pitcher:    Mike Minor (1-9, 6.24 ERA)

Minor will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Reds. Minor was tagged with a loss after he pitched 5.1 innings, giving up four runs on five hits and three walks while striking out three versus the Mets on Tuesday. He has a 2-5 record with an ERA of 3.60 and 45 strikeouts in 9 appearances against the Phillies in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati.

Philadelphia are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games against an opponent in the National League.

The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cincinnati's last 13 games.

Cincinnati are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cincinnati's last 15 games against Philadelphia.

Prediction

The Phillies struggled offensively in their last series vs Mets as they scored only 2 runs total in the whole series but they might have better chances against one of the worst bullpens in the league. The Reds have struggled this season and are 25-34 at home, they'll send Mike Minor to the mound who has struggled all season and the Reds have lost in 11 of his 12 starts this season. Syndeergard will take the mound for the Phillies who's coming from a decent start vs Marlins and have dominated the Reds in his career. Expect the Phillies to bounce back and get the win in the first of the series.

PICK: Phillies -1.5 (-115)

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