Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Spread Prediction 7/2

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Spread Prediction 7/2

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Spread Prediction 7/2


Game Summary


The Cincinnati Reds will take on the New York Yankees on July 2, 2024, at 7:06 PM at Yankee Stadium in New York. The Reds have struggled this season, sitting near the bottom of the NL Central, while the Yankees are in the thick of the playoff race in the AL East. The Reds' pitching has been a major issue, and their offense has been inconsistent. The Yankees, on the other hand, have a powerful lineup and a solid pitching staff. This game is crucial for the Yankees as they look to maintain their position in the standings and for the Reds to play spoiler.


Odds and Betting Lines


MarketOdds
Over/UnderTBD
SpreadCincinnati Reds +1.5 (-120) / New York Yankees -1.5 (+100)
MoneylineCincinnati Reds +168 / New York Yankees -200

Pitching Probables


PitcherTeamW-LERAStrikeouts
Hunter GreeneCincinnati Reds3-105.45110
Gerrit ColeNew York Yankees12-32.85170

Team Previews


Cincinnati Reds


Hitting: The Reds have been inconsistent offensively, with a team batting average of .250, ranking 18th in MLB. Jonathan India and Tyler Stephenson have been the main power sources, but the lineup lacks depth.


Relief Pitching: The Reds' bullpen has struggled, with a collective ERA of 4.90. Closer Alexis Diaz has been solid, but the middle relief has been unreliable.


Fielding: The Reds have committed 50 errors this season, ranking them 22nd in MLB. Defensive lapses have been a common issue for the team.


Starting Pitchers: Hunter Greene has shown flashes of potential but has struggled with consistency. He will need to bring his best to compete with the Yankees' potent lineup.


New York Yankees


Hitting: The Yankees have one of the most potent lineups in MLB, with a team batting average of .265, ranking 5th in the league. Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton have been consistent power threats, while DJ LeMahieu and Gleyber Torres provide versatility.


Relief Pitching: The Yankees' bullpen has been reliable, with a collective ERA of 3.50. Closer Aroldis Chapman has been lights out, supported by strong setup men like Jonathan Loaisiga and Chad Green.


Fielding: The Yankees are one of the best defensive teams in baseball, with only 30 errors on the season, ranking 1st in MLB. Their solid defense has been a key factor in their success.


Starting Pitchers: Gerrit Cole has been the ace of the staff, delivering strong performances and keeping the Yankees in games. His ability to dominate opposing lineups and pitch deep into games has been crucial.


Projected Starting Lineups


#Cincinnati RedsNew York Yankees
1Jonathan India, 2BDJ LeMahieu, 2B
2Tyler Stephenson, CAaron Judge, RF
3Joey Votto, 1BGiancarlo Stanton, DH
4Jake Fraley, LFAnthony Rizzo, 1B
5Nick Senzel, CFGleyber Torres, SS
6Spencer Steer, 3BJosh Donaldson, 3B
7Jose Barrero, SSHarrison Bader, CF
8Will Benson, RFKyle Higashioka, C
9Kevin Newman, DHOswaldo Cabrera, LF

Betting Trends


  • Reds are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
  • Yankees are 8-2 in their last 10 games.
  • Reds are 2-5 in their last 7 road games.
  • Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 home games.
  • Under is 6-4 in Reds' last 10 games.
  • Over is 7-3 in Yankees' last 10 games.

Recent Games


Cincinnati RedsOpponentScoreW/L
June 30St. Louis Cardinals2-5L
June 29St. Louis Cardinals4-3W
June 28St. Louis Cardinals1-6L
June 27Chicago Cubs3-2W
June 26Chicago Cubs1-4L

New York YankeesOpponentScoreW/L
June 30Boston Red Sox5-2W
June 29Boston Red Sox4-3W
June 28Boston Red Sox3-4L
June 27New York Mets2-1W
June 26New York Mets3-5L

Team Rankings


CategoryCincinnati RedsNew York Yankees
Hitting18th5th
Starting Pitching27th3rd
Relief Pitching26th6th
Fielding22nd1st

Significant Betting Stats


  • Yankees are 15-5 in their last 20 games as favorites.
  • Reds are 5-15 in their last 20 games as underdogs.
  • Gerrit Cole has a 2.60 ERA in home games this season.
  • Hunter Greene has allowed 4+ earned runs in 3 of his last 5 starts.
  • Under is 5-1 in Cole's last 6 home starts.
  • Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 games against right-handed starters.
  • Reds are 2-8 in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record.
  • Under is 6-3 in Yankees' last 9 games following a win.
  • Yankees are 8-3 in their last 11 home games against a team with a losing record.
  • Reds are 3-12 in their last 15 road games against a team with a winning record.

Prediction


Pick: New York Yankees -1.5
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The New York Yankees have a significant advantage in this matchup, with a stronger lineup, better pitching, and superior fielding. Gerrit Cole's consistency and the Yankees' ability to perform at home make them the clear favorites. The Reds have struggled both offensively and defensively, and Hunter Greene has not been reliable. Expect the Yankees to cover the spread and continue their push for the playoffs.


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