Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 29 (9/29) NFL

Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 29 (9/29) NFL

 

Odds

Time 8:15 p.m. EST
Dolphins money line +165
Dolphins spread +3.5 (-110)
Bengals money line -195
Bengals spread -3.5 (-110)
Over / under 47

 

2022 season stats

  Miami Dolphins Cincinnati Bengals
Record 3-0 1-2
Road / home record 1-0 0-1
Points per game 27.7 21.3
Points allowed per game 21.3 18.3
O/U 1-2 0-3
Pass yards per game 308.3 270.0
Rush yards per game 64.0 97.5
Total yards per game 372.5 367.5
Total yards allowed per game 426.5 324.0

 

Preview

The Cincinnati Bengals will host the Miami Dolphins on Thursday Night at the Paycor Stadium. These teams haven't met since 2020 season where the Dolphins beat the Bengals in a low scoring game 19-7 at home.

 

Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins have been pretty amazing in the first 3 games of the season as they already beat the Patriots 20-7, the Ravens 42-38 and the Bills 21-19. Tua Tagovailoia one of the hottest quarterbacks right now and 2nd in the NFL with 925 yards 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Jaylen Waddle is leading the team in yards received with 342 in 19 receptions and 3 touchdowns while Chase Edmonds has 79 rushing yards in 23 carries and 2 touchdowns.

The Dolphins defense had a great game in week 1 holding the Pats to only 7 points but then were passed by the Ravens and bounced back last Sunday vs Bills one of the toughest offenses in the league.

 

Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals didn't show much and struggled in the first 2 weeks but had a good game vs Jets last week as they won 27-12. Burrow finished 23 of 36 for 275 yards with TD throws to Samaje Perine, Tyler Boyd and Ja'Marr Chase who leads the team in yards received with 212 in 21 receptions and 2 touchdowns. Joe Mixon leads the team with 163 rushing yards in 58 carries.

Defensively the Bengals have been playing well holding their opponents to 18.3 points per game and their strongest defense is by ground as they're allowing 86 rushing yards.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Miami are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games.

Miami are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games against Cincinnati.

Miami are 14-4 SU in their last 18 games against Cincinnati.

Cincinnati are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 8 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games against Miami.

Cincinnati are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Dolphins are one of the hottest teams in the league right now and haven't lost a game yet but their leading quarterback Tua Tagovailoia is questionable for this game although he said he plans to play but it he doesn't it will be a huge loss for the team as they mostly attack by air and will go against a Bengals team that has just woken up and are also playing great defense. The Dolphins have struggled against the pass and Burrow will attack strong there so go with the Bengals to win and cover at home in Thursday Night. 

PICK: Bengals -3.5 (-110)

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