Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Pick and Preview, April 28 (4/28): MLB

Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Pick and Preview, April 28 (4/28): MLB

Credit: photo by Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:20 p.m. EST
Cubs money line +180
Cubs run line +1.5 (-105)
Braves money line -220
Braves run line -1.5 (-115)
Over / under 8

 

Key stats

  Chicago Cubs Atlanta Braves 
Record 8-10 8-11
Road / home record 4-4 5-7
Last 10 record 4-6 4-6
Streak W1 L1
Over / under record 8-91 9-9-1
Runs / game 5.06 3.89
Runs allowed / game 3.94 4.68

 

Preview

The Chicago Cubs and the Atlanta Braves will play the 3rd game of the series at the Truist Park on Thursday night. The Braves won the first game of the series 3-1 and the Cubs won yesterday 6-3.

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs get here with a 8-10 record and have lost 6 of their last 8 games. The team is averaging .267 at bat scoring 5.06 runs per game and allowing 3.94 runs.  Seiya Suzuki leads with 4 home runs 14 RBI and batting for an average of .340. 

Kyle Hendricks leads the pitching staff with 2 wins and a 3.98 ERA. Keegan Thompson has 2 wins recorded with a 0.54 ERA and 17 strikeouts.

Probable Pitcher: 

Drew Smyly (1-1, 2.45 ERA) will take the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Cubs. Smyly was charged with the loss Friday against the Pirates after allowing four runs on six hits with four strikeouts and one walk across five innings. He had 1 start against the Braves last season and took the loss allowing 5 runs in 4.1 innings.

Atlanta Braves

The Braves get here with a 8-11 record and have lost 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 3.89 runs per game with a .229 at bat while allowing 4.68 runs. Ozzie Albies is leading the team with 6 home runs and 11 RBI while Matt Olson has the better batting average with .329.

Morton didn't factor into the decision in Wednesday's 6-3 extra-inning loss to the Cubs, giving up three runs on four hits and four walks over 2.1 innings. He struck out one.

Probable Pitcher:

Kyle Wright (2-0, 1.06 ERA) will be on the mound for the Braves in the 3rd game of the series. Wright (2-0) picked up the win Friday, giving up four hits and a walk over six scoreless innings in a 3-0 victory over the Marlins. He struck out a career-high 11. He had 1 start against the Cubs last season and allowed 2 runs in 4.1 innings.

BETTING TRENDS

Chi Cubs are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games.

Chi Cubs are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against Atlanta.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games against Chi Cubs.

Atlanta are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs.

Prediction

The Cubs have the better offense in the MLB right now and are scoring 5 runs per game but they'll be facing Kyle Wright who has been really good so far this season and has allowed only 2 runs in 3 games. The Cubs will be sending Drew Smyly who allowed 4 runs in his last start and got pounded by the Braves last season. The Braves haven't lost with Wright on the mound so they should take care of businees and close this series at home with the win. 

PICK: Braves -1.5 (-115)

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