Game Summary

The St. Louis Cardinals (70-69) are set to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (81-58) in a pivotal rubber match for the three-game series on September 4, 2024. The game will take place at American Family Field in Milwaukee at 7:40 p.m. EDT.

The Brewers have had a solid season thus far, boasting a 41-26 record at home. They currently sit atop the NL Central and have hit a total of 156 home runs, placing them eighth in the National League. Recent performances show the Brewers at 6-4 over their last ten games, with a .227 batting average and a 2.68 ERA, outscoring their opponents by 24 runs over that span. Some key players for Milwaukee include William Contreras, who has 34 doubles and 20 home runs, and Willy Adames, who has been on a tear with seven homers in the past ten games.

The Cardinals, while in third place in the NL Central, have shown resilience with a recent 6-4 record and a much higher batting average of .284 during the same period. Paul Goldschmidt leads the Cardinals with 21 home runs. The team's record indicates a strong potential to win when they out-hit opponents, with a remarkable 51-12 record in those scenarios.

This matchup will be critical, especially since the Brewers currently lead the season series 8-4. As both teams look to solidify their playoff positions, the stakes couldn't be higher.

Player Prop Odds

Here are the current player prop odds for Alec Burleson:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+310.0)
• Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+200.0)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+160.0)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-105.0)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-150.0)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+105.0)

Player Analysis

Alec Burleson has been a consistent performer for the Cardinals this season. His ability to get on base and contribute with timely hits has made him a valuable asset in the lineup. With a batting average hovering around .279, Burleson has shown the capability to drive in runs and score himself.

When analyzing his prop odds, it's worth noting that Burleson has a solid chance of hitting over 1.5 hits, given the Brewers' pitching matchup. His recent form indicates he is more than capable of getting multiple hits in a game.

Additionally, Burleson has a knack for making solid contact, leading to a favorable opportunity for doubles and total bases. With the Brewers' Colin Rea on the mound, who has allowed 24 home runs this season, Burleson could find himself in a position to capitalize.

Opposing Analysis

The Brewers will send Colin Rea to the mound, who has performed well with a 3.70 ERA this season. However, he has shown vulnerability against left-handed hitters, which could bode well for Burleson. The Brewers' bullpen has also faced challenges, particularly with injuries impacting their depth.

St. Louis has had success against right-handed pitching, which Rea represents. This trend makes Burleson's props particularly enticing, especially the runs scored and total bases. Given the Cardinals' recent offensive output, Burleson could capitalize on the Brewers' pitching vulnerabilities.

Starting Pitching Summary - Cardinals

Sonny Gray is the expected starter for the Cardinals. With a record of 12-9 and a 3.96 ERA, he provides a solid option on the mound. His strikeout ability (179 K) adds to his effectiveness, allowing the Cardinals to stay competitive. Gray has been consistent in limiting damage, making him a critical piece of the puzzle for St. Louis as they aim for a series win.

Starting Pitching Summary - Brewers

Colin Rea, with his 12-4 record and 3.70 ERA, has had a strong season for Milwaukee. He has been a reliable option, but as mentioned, he has struggled against left-handed hitters. This could play into Burleson's favor as he steps into the batter's box. Rea's ability to limit walks and manage his pitch count will be crucial in this matchup.

Bullpen Summary - Cardinals

The Cardinals' bullpen has shown resilience, especially with Ryan Helsley stepping up as a reliable closer. Despite recent struggles, the depth in the bullpen can help maintain leads late in games, allowing for offensive opportunities earlier in the game for players like Burleson.

Bullpen Summary - Brewers

With several injuries affecting their bullpen, the Brewers may find themselves stretched thin. This could lead to favorable matchups for the Cardinals' hitters later in the game, where Burleson's ability to hit in high-pressure situations could pay dividends.

Team Previews

The Cardinals rank fifth in the National League for runs scored, showcasing their offensive capabilities. They are also in the top tier for batting average, indicating a strong lineup. Milwaukee, while leading the division, has been inconsistent offensively, ranking 20th in runs scored.

Team Injuries

St. Louis Cardinals Injuries:

• Lance Lynn (SP) - Expected to be out until at least Sep 11 (Knee)
• Drew Rom (SP) - Expected to be out until at least Sep 24 (Shoulder)

Milwaukee Brewers Injuries:

• Bryse Wilson (RP) - Expected to be out until at least Sep 17 (Oblique)

Recent Games

The last five games for each team are as follows: