Cardinals vs Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 15 (9/15): MLB

Cardinals vs Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 15 (9/15): MLB

Credit: photo by Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports

Time 7:10 p.m. EST
Cardinals money line +126
Cardinals run line +1.5 (-150)
Mets money line -150
Mets run line -1.5 (+130)
Over / under 8 (-120)


Key stats
  Cardinals Mets
Record 75-69 72-74
Road / home record 36-36 43-30
Last 10 record 6-4 4-6
Streak 4W 2L
Over / under record 64-72-8 64-75-7
Runs / game 4.15 3.97
Runs allowed / game 4.24 4.04



Tonight we have the visiting Cardinals taking on the Mets.  The Cardinals enter this one with the 2nd NL wildcard spot, 0.5 games ahead of the Reds.  They'll be looking to sweep the Mets tonight and get their 5th win in a row, furthering their wildcard lead.  The Mets enter this game 5.5 games back in the NL East and 4 games back for an NL wildcard spot.  This has been an important series for both teams and the Cardinals have had the upper hand.  The Mets have a chance to turn things around though as they take on a boderline washed up John Lester.

Pitching matchup


John Lester (5-6, 4.75 ERA) will be on the mound today for the visiting Cardinals when they take on the Mets. Lester enters this game with an ugly 1.54 WHIP and 5.68 XFIP.  This season he carries a very low 13% strikeout rate along with a high 9.5% walk rate, recipes for disaster.  Lester has been decent lately but is due some regression.  He relies on his defense to get outs and allows too much contact and walks too many hitters to be succesful every night.  He has been able to handle left handed hitters though as he has kept the contact and power down in the split.  He will have his work cut out for him in a tough matchup against a Mets team that boasts some quality bats.


Tylor Megill (3-4, 4.06 ERA) will toe the rubber tongiht for the Mets when they take on the Cardinals. Megill enters this game with a 1.20 WHIP and 4.02 XFIP.  This season he boasts a nice 27.2% strikeout rate along with a 6.2% walk rate.  Megill has been good since being called up this year.  His only cryptonite has been left handed bats as they have got to him for alot of power and contact.  The good news for him is that Cardinals don't have many left handed hitters as they will only roll out 2-3 tonight.  This matchup sets up perfectly for Megill and he should find success against this Cardinals team. 


This matchup sets up perfectly for Megill.  He will face a right handed heavy lineup that the Cards throw out there and he should be able to find plenty of success.  Lester has been medicore all year and I see these Mets hitter being able to get on base and score some runs.

PICK: Mets -1.5 (+130)

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