Cardinals vs Braves Prediction MLB Picks Today 6/24

Cardinals vs Braves Prediction MLB Picks Today 6/24

© Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports

 

MLB Preview: Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals

On June 24, 2024, the Atlanta Braves will face the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium. This article provides a comprehensive analysis of the teams' recent performances, pitching matchups, offensive leaders, and a detailed prediction.

 

Game Overview:

  • Date: June 24, 2024
  • Time: 4:45 PM
  • Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
  • Weather: 94°F, Clear

Team Breakdown:

Atlanta Braves:

The Atlanta Braves enter this game with a 43-32 record, including a 19-19 record on the road. They currently sit second in the National League East and are coming off a mixed bag of results, showing both strong wins and occasional setbacks.

Pitching:

Spencer Schwellenbach will start for the Braves. Schwellenbach has a 1-2 record with a 4.98 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 21.2 innings pitched. His season has been characterized by variability, making it important for him to establish control early in the game and limit the Cardinals' scoring opportunities.

Recent Performance:

In their recent games, the Braves have shown resilience, winning three of their last five matchups. Despite a loss to the Yankees in their previous game, their ability to bounce back and secure victories against tough opponents like the Detroit Tigers underscores their competitive edge.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Marcell Ozuna (21 HR)
  • Batting Average: Marcell Ozuna (.314 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Marcell Ozuna (64 RBI)

The Braves have faced injuries to key players such as Jimmy Herget, Luis Liberato, A.J. Minter, Hurston Waldrep, and Michael Harris II, affecting their lineup depth and performance on the field.

St. Louis Cardinals:

The St. Louis Cardinals hold a 39-37 record, with a 20-15 record at home. They are third in the National League Central and have shown recent improvement with a three-game winning streak, demonstrating their ability to perform under pressure.

Pitching:

Lance Lynn will start for the Cardinals. Lynn has a 2-3 record with a 4.08 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 75.0 innings pitched. His experience and ability to handle tough situations make him a valuable asset in crucial matchups like this one against the Braves.

Recent Performance:

The Cardinals have been in good form, winning their last three games against the San Francisco Giants and Miami Marlins. Their ability to secure close victories and adapt to different game situations highlights their competitive spirit and tactical awareness.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Nolan Gorman (16 HR)
  • Batting Average: Masyn Winn (.299 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Brendan Donovan (38 RBI)

The Cardinals' roster has dealt with injuries to Tekoah Roby, Michael Siani, Nolan Arenado, Nick Robertson, and Willson Contreras, impacting their lineup flexibility and overall team strategy.

Game Odds:

Team Moneyline Total Run Line
ATL (43-32) -125 o8.5 (-130) -1.5 (+130)
STL (39-37) +105 u8.5 (+110) +1.5 (-155)

 

Prediction:

Considering the offensive capabilities and recent performances of both teams, the over/under total of 8.5 runs is an attractive pick for this game. Here’s why:

  • Offensive Strength: Both the Braves and the Cardinals possess potent batting lineups led by players like Marcell Ozuna and Nolan Gorman. Their ability to generate runs consistently increases the likelihood of surpassing the 8.5-run mark.
  • Pitching Matchup: Spencer Schwellenbach and Lance Lynn, while capable, have shown vulnerabilities this season, particularly in allowing runs against strong hitting teams. This matchup could result in both teams capitalizing on scoring opportunities.
  • Recent Trends: The Braves and Cardinals have demonstrated an ability to score runs in their recent games, reflected in their respective win streaks and competitive performances.

Given these factors, the over 8.5 runs provides good value based on the offensive capabilities and potential vulnerabilities of both pitching staffs.

Pick: Over 8.5 Runs

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