Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 27 (9/27): MLB

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 27 (9/27): MLB

 

Odds

Time 7:10 p.m. EST
Red Sox money line -135
Red Sox run line -1.5 (+145)
Orioles money line +113
Orioles run line +1.5 (-170)
Over / under 9

 

Key stats

  Boston Red Sox  Baltimore Orioles
Record 72-81 79-73
Home / road record 37-38 35-39
Last 10 record 3-7 5-5
Streak L5 W1
Over / under record 71-72-10 69-78-6
Runs / game 4.52 4.18
Runs allowed / game 4.80 4.18

 

Preview

The Baltimore Orioles and the Boston Red Sox will play 2nd game of the series at the Fenway Park on Tuesday. The Orioles outscored the Red Sox 14-8 in the first game of the series. Cedric Mullins homered on the second pitch of the game, Anthony Santander went deep twice.

 

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox get here with a 72-81 record and have lost 6 games in a row. The team is averaging 4.52 runs per game. They're batting for .257 AVG, 678 runs scored in 1328 hits and 141 home runs, ranking #10 in offense in the league, behind the Toronto Blue Jays. Rafael Devers is leading the team with 27 home runs and 84 RBI, batting for .289 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 4.80 runs per game and rank #24 in the league. Nick Pivetta leads the team with 10 wins recorded with a 4.35 ERA and 160 strikeouts

Probable Pitcher:  Michael Wacha (11-1, 2.70 ERA)

Wacha will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for Boston. After getting called up from Triple-A Worcester last week to serve as Boston's No. 5 starter, Seabold dropped to 0-3 after giving up four earned runs on six hits and one walk while striking out four across five innings.

Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles get here with a 80-73 record and have won 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.18 runs per game. They're batting for .236 AVG, 576 runs scored in 1085 hits and 146 home runs, ranking #21 in offense in the league behind the Cincinnati Reds. Anthony Santander leads the team with 27 home runs, 79 RBI and Cedric Mullins is batting for an average of .264.

Defensively they are allowing 4.16 runs per game and rank #10 in the league. Jordan Lyles leads the pitching staff with a 4.70 ERA, 129 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher:  Kyle Bradish (4-7, 4.65 ERA)

Bradish will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Orioles. Wacha yielded a run on seven hits over seven innings against Kansas City on Friday. He struck out four and did not factor in the decision. He is 2-1 with an ERA of 4.89 and 24 strikeouts in 8 appearances versus the Orioles in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Baltimore are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.

Baltimore are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games on the road.

Baltimore are 4-9 SU in their last 13 games when playing on the road against Boston.

Boston are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games against Baltimore.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Orioles offense exploded in the first game of the series versus Red Sox beating them 14-8 and they continue on the fight for a playoff spot so every game is key for them right now. Kyle Bradish will start for the Orioles who's coming from one of his best start of the season as he pitched 8.2 scoreless innings vs Astros. The Red Sox will send Michael Wacha to the mound who has been good this season and has been very effective against the Orioles this season. Both starters should be dominant on the mound but the Orioles have more to play for here so go with Baltimore for the win.

PICK: Orioles ML (+113)

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