Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 10 (9/10): MLB

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 10 (9/10): MLB

 

Odds

Time 5:05 p.m. EST
Orioles money line -135
Orioles run line +1.5 (-170)
Red Sox money line +113
Red Sox run line -1.5 (+145)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Baltimore Orioles Boston Red Sox
Record 73-65 67-72
Home / road record 41-28 32-38
Last 10 record 5-5 5-5
Streak W1 L4
Over / under record 61-72-5 63-66-10
Runs / game 4.20 4.52
Runs allowed / game 4.10 4.86

 

Preview

The Boston Red Sox and the Baltimore Orioles will play the 2nd game of the series at the Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Saturday. The Orioles wook the win 3-2 in the first game of the series. Henderson hit a bases-loaded single in the sixth inning to cap a big Baltimore rally.

 

Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles get here with a 73-65 record and have lost 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.20 runs per game. They're batting for .236 AVG, 576 runs scored in 1085 hits and 146 home runs, ranking #20 in offense in the league behind the Cincinnati Reds. Anthony Santander leads the team with 27 home runs, 79 RBI and Cedric Mullins is batting for an average of .264.

Defensively they are allowing 4.10 runs per game and rank #10 in the league. Jordan Lyles leads the pitching staff with a 4.25 ERA, 123 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher:

Jordan Lyles (10-9, 4.25 ERA) will be on the mound for the Orioles in the 2nd game of the series. The 31-year-old's return timeline was murky earlier this week, but he threw a bullpen session Thursday and is now expected to take the mound for Saturday's contest, barring a setback. Lyles was scratched from his previously scheduled start in Monday's doubleheader versus Toronto due to an illness, but it appears his absence will be limited to one turn through the rotation. He has a record of 2-1 with an ERA of 5.66 and 33 strikeouts in 7 appearances versus the Red Sox in his career.

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox get here with a 67-72 record and have lost their last 4 games. The team is averaging 4.52 runs per game. They're batting for .257 AVG, 624 runs scored in 1231 hits and 130 home runs, ranking #9 in offense in the league, behind the Milwaukee Brewers. Rafael Devers is leading the team with 25 home runs and 73 RBI, batting for .289 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 4.86 runs per game and rank #25 in the league. Nick Pivetta leads the team with 9 wins recorded with a 4.29 ERA and 148 strikeouts.

Probable Pitcher:

Michael Wacha (10-1, 2.58 ERA) will be on the mound for the Red Sox in the 2nd game of the series. Wacha allowed two runs on seven hits over six innings against the Rays on Monday. He struck out seven and did not factor in the decision. He is 1-1 with an ERA of 4.97 and 19 strikeouts in 7 appearances against the Orioles in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games.

Boston are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Boston's last 11 games when playing on the road against Baltimore.

Baltimore are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Baltimore's last 15 games against Boston.

 

Prediction

The Red Sox are now 2-5 when have played on the road against the Orioles this season. For this game they'll send Michael Wacha to the mound who has been pretty good this season and dominated the Orioles the last time he faced them. The Orioles will send Jordan Lyles who was sharp in his last start but has struggled against the Red Sox in his career. We're getting great value with the Red Sox as underdogs here as they have the better pitcher on the mound and last time was very close. Take the Red Sox.

PICK: Red Sox ML (+113)

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