Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 19 (9/19) MLB

Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 19 (9/19) MLB

 

Odds

Time 7:20 p.m. EST
Braves money line -345
Braves run line -1.5 (-165)
Nationals money line +270
Nationals run line +1.5 (+140)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Atlanta Braves  Washington Nationals
Record 91-55 51-95
Home / road record 41-30 27-45
Last 10 record 6-4 3-7
Streak W3 L1
Over / under record 73-65-8 70-68-8
Runs / game 4.96 3.86
Runs allowed / game 3.80 5.30

 

Preview

The Washington Nationals and the Atlanta Braves will meet again to play a 3-game series at the Truist Park. The Braves swept the Phillies in the weekend series while the Nationals beat the Marlins 2 of 3 times but are 2-10 vs Braves this season.

 

Atlanta Braves

The Braves get here with a 91-55 record and have won 4 their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.96 runs per game. They're batting for .252 AVG, 716 runs scored in 1247 hits and 218 home runs, ranking #3 in offense in the league behind the NY Yankees. Austin Riley is leading the team with 36 home runs and 91 RBI while Dansby Swanson has the better batting average with .280. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.80 runs per game and rank #7 in the league. Max Fried leads the pitching staff with a 2.52 ERA, 159 strikeouts and 13 wins recorded with the Braves. 

Probable Pitcher:  Kyle Wright (18-5, 3.18 ERA)

Wright will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Braves. Wright earned the win during Tuesday's 5-1 victory over San Francisco, allowing one run on three hits and three walks with four strikeouts in 5.1 innings. He has a 3-1 record with an ERA of 5.26 and 18 strikeouts in 6 appearances versus the Nationals in his career.

Washington Nationals

The Nationals get here with a 51-95 record and have lost 6 of their last 8 games. The team is averaging 3.86 runs per game. They're batting for .251 AVG, 561 runs scored in 1233 hits and 126 home runs, ranking #25 in offense in the league, behind the Kansas City Royals. Joey Meneses has a batting average of .309, 9 home runs and 23 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 5.30 runs per game and ranking #29, the second worst in the league. Josiah Gray leads the team with a 5.14 ERA, 149 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded for the Nationals.

Probable Pitcher:  Cory Abbott (0-2, 4.37 ERA)

Abbott will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Nationals. Abbott did not factor into the decision Tuesday, allowing two runs on five hits and three walks over three innings in a 4-3 loss against the Orioles. He struck out three.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Washington are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games against Atlanta.

Washington are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games on the road.

Washington are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta.

Atlanta are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

The total has gone OVER in 13 of Atlanta's last 18 games against Washington.

Atlanta are 8-0 SU in their last 8 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Nationals won their last series but it was against the Marlins another team that's already eliminated from the playoff contention and they have been dominated by the Braves this season. Cory Abbott will start for the Nationals who has only 6 starts this season and the Nats have lost in 5 of them. The Braves are 2 games behind the Mets so they'll play this series with everything they got. Kyle Wright is coming from a solid start vs Giants and has beat the Nationals twice this season so take the Braves to win this game and cover the run line.

PICK: Braves -1.5 (-165) 

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