Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 14 (10/14): MLB

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 14 (10/14): MLB

Odds

Time 4:37 p.m. EST
Phillies money line -115
Phillies run line +1.5 (-210)
Braves money line -105
Braves run line -1.5 (+175)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Philadelphia Phillies  Atlanta Braves
Record 90-76 102-62
Home / road record 47-34 46-35
Last 10 record 7-3 6-4
Streak L1 W1
Over / under record 83-77-6 81-75-8
Runs / game 4.61 4.87
Runs allowed / game 4.20 3.76

 

Preview

The Atlanta Braves and the Philadelphia Phillies will play the 3rd game of the National League Divisional Series at the Citizens Bank Park on Friday. The Braves bounced back and took the win 3-0 in the second game of the series. Kyle Wright threw 6 scoreless innings.

 

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies get to this game with a 90-76 record and have won 3 of their last 4 games. The team is averaging 4.61 runs per game. They're batting for .253 AVG, 747 runs scored in 1392 hits and 205 home runs, ranking #7 in offense in the league behind the NY Mets. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 46 home runs and 94 RBI while Alec Bohm is batting for .281 avg.

Defensively they are allowing 4.20 runs per game and rank #13 in the league. Zack Wheeler leads the team with a 2.82 ERA, 163 strikeouts and 12 wins recorded for the Phillies.

Probable Pitcher:  Aaron Nola (11-3, 3.25 ERA)

Nola will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Phillies. Nola earned the win against the Astros on Monday, allowing no runs on two hits and no walks with nine strikeouts over 6.2 innings. He has a record of 15-10 with an ERA of 3.39 and 183 strikeouts in 30 appearances versus the Braves in his career.

Atlanta Braves

The Braves get here with a 102-62 record and have lost 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.87 runs and and they're batting for .254 AVG, 789 runs scored in 1394 hits and 243 home runs, ranking #3 in offense in the league behind the NY Yankees. Austin Riley is leading the team with 38 home runs and 93 RBI while Dansby Swanson has the better batting average with .277. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.72 runs per game and rank #4 in the league. Max Fried leads the pitching staff with a 2.48 ERA, 170 strikeouts and 14 wins recorded with the Braves. 

Probable Pitcher:  Charlie Morton (9-6, 4.34 ERA)

Morton will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Braves. Morton didn't factor into the decision during Sunday's 5-3 victory over the Mets, allowing three runs on nine hits and one walk with five strikeouts in 4.1 innings. He has a record of 5-6 with an ERA of 4.81 and 93 strikeouts in 17 appearances against the Phillies in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Atlanta are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games.

Atlanta are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games against Philadelphia.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.

Philadelphia are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games against Atlanta.

 

Prediction

The Phillies couldn't do much against a great performance from Kyle Wright and the Braves bullpen who held them to zero runs in the game. Aaron Nola will start for the Phillies who's coming from a great start on the Wild Card Series vs Cardinals where he held them to zero runs across 6.2 innings pitched and has decent numbers vs Braves in his career. Charlie Morton will take the mound for the Braves who has been up and down this season and was pounded by the Phillies with 6 runs the last time he faced them. Expect both offenses to respond on this game and with the over cashing in 6 of the last 8 head to head games in Philly I think that's the play.

PICK: Over 7.5 (-110)

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