Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 12 (10/12): MLB

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 12 (10/12): MLB

Odds

Time 4:35 p.m. EST
Phillies money line +105
Phillies run line +1.5 (-195)
Braves money line -128
Braves run line -1.5 (+165)
Over / under 7

 

Key stats

  Philadelphia Phillies  Atlanta Braves
Record 90-75 101-62
Road / home record 43-41 55-27
Last 10 record 7-3 6-4
Streak W3 L2
Over / under record 83-76-6 81-74-8
Runs / game 4.61 4.87
Runs allowed / game 4.20 3.76

 

Preview

The Atlanta Braves will host again the Philadelphia Phillies to play the 2nd game of the National League Divisional Series at the Truist Park on Tuesday. The Phillies offense exploded in the first game of the series scoring 7 runs to beat the Braves 7-6 and take the lead 1-0 on the series.

 

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies get to this game with a 90-75 record and have won 6 of their last 8 games. The team is averaging 4.61 runs per game. They're batting for .253 AVG, 747 runs scored in 1392 hits and 205 home runs, ranking #7 in offense in the league behind the NY Mets. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 46 home runs and 94 RBI while Alec Bohm is batting for .281 avg.

Defensively they are allowing 4.20 runs per game and rank #13 in the league. Zack Wheeler leads the team with a 2.82 ERA, 163 strikeouts and 12 wins recorded for the Phillies.

Probable Pitcher:  Zack Wheeler (12-7, 2.82 ERA)

Wheeler will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Phillies. Wheeler allowed two hits over five scoreless innings Sunday, striking out seven and earning a win over the Nationals. He has a record of 10-7 with an ERA of 3.16 and 152 strikeouts in 24 appearances against the Braves in his career.

Atlanta Braves

The Braves get here with a 101-62 record and have lost 3 of their last 4 games. The team is averaging 4.87 runs and and they're batting for .254 AVG, 789 runs scored in 1394 hits and 243 home runs, ranking #3 in offense in the league behind the NY Yankees. Austin Riley is leading the team with 38 home runs and 93 RBI while Dansby Swanson has the better batting average with .277. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.72 runs per game and rank #4 in the league. Max Fried leads the pitching staff with a 2.48 ERA, 170 strikeouts and 14 wins recorded with the Braves. 

Probable Pitcher:  Kyle Wright (21-5, 3.19 ERA)

Wright will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Braves. Wright earned the win against the Mets on Saturday, allowing two runs on seven hits while striking out three and walking one over five innings. He has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 3.86 and 23 strikeouts in 6 appearances against the Phillies in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Philadelphia are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games.

Philadelphia are 4-11 SU in their last 15 games when playing on the road against Atlanta.

Philadelphia are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the National League.

Atlanta are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games against Philadelphia.

Atlanta are 13-2 SU in their last 15 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Phillies upset the Braves in the first game of the series and it will be now hard to stop them. Wheeler will start for the Phillies who's coming from a great start on the Wild Card Series vs Cardinals where he held them to zero runs across 6.1 innings pitched and has decent numbers vs Braves in his career. Kyle Wright will take the mound for the Braves who had a good season and the Braves won in 17 of his last 18 starts. The Braves need to win win this game so expect them to give the Phillies a hard time. Take Atlanta.

PICK: Braves ML (-128)

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