Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 11 (7/11): MLB

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 11 (7/11): MLB

Credit: photo by Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:20 p.m. EST
Mets money line -102
Mets run line +1.5 (+200)
Braves money line -118
Braves run line -1.5 (+170)
Over / under 7

 

Key stats

  New York Mets  Atlanta Braves
Record 53-33 52-35
Road / home record 25-18 30-18
Last 10 record 6-4 8-2
Streak L1 W3
Over / under record 45-36-5 42-42-3
Runs / game 4.76 4.78
Runs allowed / game 3.94 3.95

 

Preview

The Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets will meet again to play a 3-game series at the Truist Park. The Braves swept the Nationals in their last series while the Mets tied 2-2 against the Miami Marlins. These teams tied 2-2 in the last series played in New York.

New York Mets

The Mets get here with a 53-33 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.76 runs per game. They're batting for .255 AVG, 409 runs scored in 742 hits and 85 home runs, ranking #5 in offense in the league tied with the Philadelphia Phillies. Jeff McNeil is batting for .311 AVG while Pete Alonso leads with 23 home runs and 70 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.94 runs per game and rank #8 in the league. Chris Bassit  gave up two runs and six hits in 6 1/3 innings in the loss vs Marlins. He leads the pitching staff with a 3.94 ERA, 98 strikeouts and 6 wins recorded with the NY Mets.

Probable Pitcher: Max Scherzer (5-1, 2.26 ERA)

Scherzer will take the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Mets. In Tuesday's 1-0 loss to the Reds, Scherzer allowed two hits over six innings of shutout baseball but didn't factor in the decision. Without walking a single batter, he struck out 11. He has a record of 10-9 with an ERA of 3.88 and 185 strikeouts in 27 appearances versus the Braves in his career.

Atlanta Braves

The Braves get here with a 52-35 record and have won 6 of their last 7 games. The team is averaging 4.7 runs per game. They're batting for .251 AVG, 416 runs scored in 745 hits and 133 home runs, ranking #3 in offense in the league behind the LA Dodgers. Austin Riley is leading the team with 23 home runs and 56 RBI while Dansby Swanson has the better batting average with .302. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.95 runs per game and rank #9 in the league. Max Fried leads the pitching staff with a 2.52 ERA, 100 strikeouts and 9 wins recorded with the Braves. 

Probable Pitcher:  Max Fried (9-2, 2.52 ERA)

Fried will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Braves. The left-hander was forced to leave his previous start on Wednesday due to tightness in his right glute, but it looks that no further problems have arisen, and he is ready to take his next turn in the cycle. Fried has been outstanding in his last four appearances, pitching 26.2 innings with a 1.35 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, and 25:4 K:BB ratio. He is 5-3 with an ERA of 2.80 and 82 strikeouts in 17 appearances against the Mets in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets' last 6 games on the road.

NY Mets are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 9 games.

Atlanta Braves are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games

Prediction

This is going to be an exciting series against two of the top teams in the National League East. The Mets struggled in their last series vs Marlins but have been good on the road with a 25-18 record. Scherzer was outstanding in his return tossing 6 scoreless innings against the Reds. The Braves are on a roll and have won 8 of their last 10 games and are 30-18 at home. They'll send Max Fried to the mound who has been insane lately allowing only 1 run in his last 13 innings pitched and beat the Mets earlier this season. Both pitchers should dominate on the mound so expect a low scoring game. Take the under.

PICK: Under 7 (-110)

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