Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 31 (5/31): MLB

Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 31 (5/31): MLB

Credit: photo by Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 9:40 p.m. EST
Braves money line -165
Braves run line -1.5 (+110)
Dbacks money line +139
Dbacks run line +1.5 (-110)
Over / under 9

 

Key stats

  Atlanta Braves Arizona Diamondbacks
Record 23-26 23-26
Road / home record 9-12 12-15
Last 10 record 5-5 5-5
Streak L1 W1
Over / under record 27-19-3 21-28-1
Runs / game 4.10 3.86
Runs allowed / game 4.35 4.55

 

Preview

The Atlanta Braves and the Arizona Diamondbacks will play the 2nd game of the series at the Chase Field on Tuesday night. The Dbacks took the win 6-2 on Monday.

Atlanta Braves

The Braves get here with a 23-26 record and have lost 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.10 runs per game with a .228 at bat while allowing 4.35 runs. Austin Riley is leading the team with 12 home runs and 24 RBI while Dansby Swanson has the better batting average with .268. 

Max Fried leads the pitching staff with a 3.10 ERA, 57 strikeouts and 5 wins recorded for the Braves.

Probable Pitcher:

Charlie Morton (3-3, 5.28 ERA) will be on the mound for the Atlanta in the 1st game of the series. Morton pitched 4.1 innings, giving up four runs on nine hits, a walk and hit-by-pitch while striking out four in Wednesday's win over the Phillies. He did not factor into the decision. In his last start against the Dbacks he allowed 3 runs in 6 innings and struck out 8 batters.

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks get to this game with a 24-26 record and have lost 4 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 3.8 runs per game and allowing 4.5 runs. Christian Walker leads with 12 home runs and 22 RBI and Daulton Varsho is batting for .259 AVG.

Gallen (4-0) gave up two runs over 5 2/3 innings, scattering seven hits and two walks while striking out six. 

Probable Pitcher:

Humberto Castellanos (3-2, 5.22 ERA) will be on the mound for the Diamondbacks in the 2nd game of the series. Castellanos took the loss during Thursday's 14-1 defeat at the hands of the Dodgers, allowing six runs on 10 hits and one walk with one strikeout in four innings.

BETTING TRENDS

Atlanta are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Arizona.

Atlanta are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games against an opponent in the National League West Division division.

Arizona are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games against Atlanta.

Prediction

As expected, Gallen and the Dbacks bullpen held the Braves to only 2 runs and the offense responded to win the game but now I think we're going to the other way. The Braves will send Charlie Morton to the mound and although he's struggled he's a better pitcher than Castellanos and the Braves are the better team overall. Expect the Braves to bounce back and win this game.

PICK: Braves ML (-165)

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