Astros vs Rockies Prediction MLB Picks Today 6/26

Astros vs Rockies Prediction MLB Picks Today 6/26

© Thomas Shea-USA TODAY Sports

 

MLB Preview: Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros

On June 26, 2024, the Colorado Rockies will face the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park. This article provides a comprehensive analysis of the teams' recent performances, pitching matchups, and offensive leaders.

 

Game Overview:

  • Date: June 26, 2024
  • Time: 11:10 AM
  • Location: Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
  • Weather: 87°F, Clear

Team Breakdown:

Colorado Rockies:

The Colorado Rockies enter this game with a 27-51 record, including a 11-27 record on the road. They are currently in last place in the National League West, looking to turn their season around.

Pitching:

Ryan Feltner will start for the Rockies. Feltner has struggled this season with a 1-6 record, a 6.02 ERA, and a 1.48 WHIP over 80.2 innings pitched. His high ERA and WHIP suggest that opposing teams have been able to score runs against him.

Recent Performance:

The Rockies have won two of their last five games, showing some signs of improvement but still struggling overall.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Ryan McMahon (14 HR)
  • Batting Average: Ezequiel Tovar (.285 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Ryan McMahon (42 RBI)

The Rockies have dealt with injuries to players such as Sean Bouchard, Jake Bird, Elias Diaz, Ryan Rolison, and Charlie Blackmon, impacting their overall performance.

Houston Astros:

The Houston Astros have a 38-40 record, including a 22-19 record at home. They are currently in second place in the American League West, looking to improve their standing in the division.

Pitching:

Spencer Arrighetti will start for the Astros. Arrighetti has a 3-6 record with a 6.36 ERA and a 1.74 WHIP over 58.0 innings pitched. His high ERA and WHIP indicate that he has been inconsistent and prone to giving up runs.

Recent Performance:

The Astros have won five of their last five games, showing strong form as they head into this matchup.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Kyle Tucker (19 HR)
  • Batting Average: Jose Altuve (.299 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Yordan Alvarez (41 RBI)

The Astros have dealt with injuries to players such as Jacob Melton, Zach Dezenzo, Rhett Kouba, Miguel Palma, and Jairo Solis, but their depth has allowed them to remain competitive.

Game Odds:

Team Moneyline Total Run Line
COL (27-51) +165 o8.5 (-115) +1.5 (-125)
HOU (38-40) -195 u8.5 (-105) -1.5 (+105)

 

Prediction:

Considering the pitching matchups and recent performances of both teams, the pick for this game is the Over of 8.5 runs. Here’s why:

  • Struggling Pitchers: Both Ryan Feltner and Spencer Arrighetti have high ERAs and WHIPs, indicating that they are prone to giving up runs. This suggests that both teams have the potential to score significantly.
  • Offensive Potential: Both teams have key players who can generate offense. The Rockies' Ryan McMahon and Ezequiel Tovar, along with the Astros' Kyle Tucker and Yordan Alvarez, are capable of putting runs on the board.
  • Recent Form: The Astros have been on a winning streak, scoring consistently in their recent games. The Rockies, despite their struggles, have shown the ability to score runs in bunches.
  • Inconsistent Bullpens: Both teams have shown some inconsistency in their bullpens, which could lead to additional runs being scored late in the game.

Given these factors, betting on the Over of 8.5 runs is a strong pick based on the potential for a high-scoring game due to the starting pitchers' struggles and the offensive capabilities of both teams.

Pick: Over 8.5 Runs

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