Arizona Diamondbacks vs St Louis Cardinals Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 1 (5/1): MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks vs St Louis Cardinals Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 1 (5/1): MLB

Credit: photo by Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 2:15 p.m. EST
Diamondbacks money line +150
Diamondbacks run line +1.5 (-130)
Cardinals money line -182
Cardinals run line -1.5 (+110)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Arizona Diamondbacks St Louis Cardinals
Record 10-12 11-9
Road / home record 5-5 5-5
Last 10 record 6-4 4-6
Streak W2 L2
Over / under record 6-15-1 9-10-1
Runs / game 3.14 4.32
Runs allowed / game 4.05 3.32

Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks and the St Louis Cardinals will play the fourth game of the series at the Busch Stadium on Sunday. The Dbacks won the third game of the series 2-0. Merrill Kelly threw seven shutout innings and Ketel Marte and Nick Ahmed each homered in the eighth inning to win the game.

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks get to this game with a 10-12 record and have won 4 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 3.14 runs per game and allowing 4.05 runs. Pavin Smith is batting for .276 AVG and Dalton Varsho leads with 4 home runs and 10 RBI.

Kelly (2-1) pitched seven scoreless innings, holding the Cardinals to two hits with four strikeouts and one hit batter.

Probable Pitcher:

Zach Davies (1-1, 5.40 ERA) will be on the mound for the Diamondbacks in the 4th game of the series. Davies didn't factor into the decision during Tuesday's 5-3 win over the Dodgers, allowing three runs on four hits and four walks with three strikeouts in four innings. In his last 3 games vs Cardinals he has a 6.23 ERA across 13 innings pitched.

St Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals get here with a 11-9 record after losing the third game of this series. The team is averaging 4.32 runs and allowing 3.32 runs per game. Nolan Arenado leads with 5 home runs and batting for .375 AVG whit 17 RBI so far.

Mikolas pitched 7 1/3 innings, allowing four hits with seven strikeouts and no walks in his fifth start of 2022.

Probable Pitcher: 

Jordan Hicks (1-2, 3.00 ERA) will take the mound in the 4th game of the series for the Cardinals. Hicks exited his previous start Tuesday against the Mets after taking a comebacker off his right wrist. He hasn't been diagnosed with anything worse than a bruise and appears set to avoid missing a start. He's unlikely to pitch deep into Sunday's contest, as he's topped out at three innings this season.

BETTING TRENDS

Arizona are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

Arizona are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games against St. Louis.

St. Louis are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis' last 9 games against Arizona.

Prediction

The Cardinals have struggled offensively in the last 2 games against the Dbacks and went scoreless in the 3rd of the series but they'll have a chance against Davies who hasn't been sharp so far this season. The Dbacks haven't earned my trust yet so I expect the Cardinals so bounce back and tie this series at home.

PICK: Cardinals ML (-185)

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