MLB Player Prop Prediction: Freddie Freeman - Giants vs Dodgers 7/22

Game Summary

The San Francisco Giants will face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers in the first of a four-game series at Dodger Stadium on Monday, July 22, at 10:10 PM EDT. The Dodgers, currently leading the NL West with a 59-41 record, have been impressive at home, boasting a 31-19 record. They have the third-most home runs in the league with 138, averaging 1.4 per game. On the other hand, the Giants are struggling on the road with a 20-30 record and sit fourth in the NL West with an overall 48-52 record. When they hit at least two home runs in a game, they have an impressive 18-6 record.

Historically, the Dodgers have dominated this season series, leading 6-3 in the previous nine matchups. Key performers for the Dodgers include Shohei Ohtani, who leads with 59 extra-base hits, including 30 home runs, and Will Smith, who has been solid over the last ten games with four home runs and six RBIs. For the Giants, Matt Chapman leads with a .234 batting average, 25 doubles, and 13 home runs, while Mike Yastrzemski has been hot recently, going 11-for-28 with a home run and three RBIs.

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Player Prop Odds

Freddie Freeman's Player Props:

Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+375)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+180), Under 0.5 (-250)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+120), Under 0.5 (-165)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-117)
Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+145), Under 1.5 (-190)

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Player Analysis

Freddie Freeman has been a critical asset for the Dodgers this season. Currently, he is slashing .307/.388/.521 with 20 home runs and 62 RBIs. His recent form has been exceptional, as he’s hitting .345 over his last 15 games with a .400 OBP and .586 SLG. Freeman has been particularly effective against left-handed pitchers, boasting a .330 average, which is crucial against the Giants’ probable starter, Blake Snell.

Opposing Analysis

Blake Snell, the Giants' probable starter for Monday's game, has struggled this season with a 0-3 record and a 6.31 ERA over 35.2 innings pitched. He has allowed 34 hits and issued 17 walks, resulting in a 1.43 WHIP. Snell has also given up four home runs and has a tendency to struggle deep into games, often not making it past the fifth inning. The Giants’ bullpen has a 4.34 ERA over the last ten games, indicating vulnerability that Freeman could exploit.

Pitching Probables

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Team Previews

San Francisco Giants

The Giants' offense ranks fourth in hits (868) and tied for first in runs (499). They have a team batting average of .254, which ranks sixth in the majors. On the pitching side, their team ERA of 3.76 ranks ninth, and they have recorded 30 saves, placing them sixth in that category. Defensively, the Giants have committed 50 errors, ranking them tied for 19th.

Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers' offense ranks 15th in hits (820) and runs (436), with a team batting average of .243. They have struggled in the bullpen, with just 19 saves, ranking 27th. However, their starting pitchers have kept them competitive with a 4.42 team ERA, ranking 23rd. Defensively, the Dodgers have committed 57 errors, ranking them tied for 10th.

Team Injuries

Recent Games

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Prediction

Considering Freddie Freeman's recent form and his performance against left-handed pitching, we recommend taking the over on the following prop bets for Freeman:

Freeman has been hitting exceptionally well lately and should have ample opportunities against a struggling Blake Snell and the Giants' bullpen.

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