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MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Red Sox vs Mariners 7/29

MLB Player Props Lines Today: Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox
Photo Credit: © Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Seattle Mariners (56-51, second in the AL West) are set to visit the Boston Red Sox (55-49, third in the AL East) on Monday, July 29, 2024, at the iconic Fenway Park. The game is scheduled to start at 7:10 p.m. EDT. This matchup promises to be an exciting battle as both teams are fighting for their respective playoff spots.
The Mariners come into this game riding a three-game road win streak and are looking to extend their momentum. Their recent form has seen them go 4-6 in their last 10 games, with a batting average of .196 and an impressive team ERA of 2.33. Julio Rodriguez has been a standout, hitting .438 with two doubles, three home runs, and seven RBIs in his last 10 games.
On the other hand, the Red Sox have struggled recently, going 3-7 in their last 10 games with a team ERA of 6.51. However, they have been strong at Fenway Park this season with a 25-27 home record. Jarren Duran has been a bright spot for Boston, leading the team with 31 doubles, 12 triples, and 13 home runs this season.
Historically, these two teams have been evenly matched, splitting their four matchups this season with two wins each. The Mariners will rely on their pitching depth and recent form, while the Red Sox will look to leverage their home-field advantage and offensive firepower.
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Player Prop Odds
Randy Arozarena
- Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +275, Under -425
- Batter Hits (1.5): Over +195, Under -275
- Batter Home Runs (0.5): Over +360, Under -600
- Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +140, Under -190
- Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over -115, Under -115
- Batter Singles (0.5): Over -105, Under -125
- Batter Stolen Bases (0.5): Over +390, Under -650
- Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over -105, Under -125
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Player Analysis
Randy Arozarena has been a consistent performer for the Tampa Bay Rays this season. With a batting average of .297, he has proven his ability to hit for average and power. Arozarena's 23 home runs and 64 RBIs highlight his offensive capabilities. He has also displayed versatility on the bases with his speed, contributing to his overall value.
In his last 10 games, Arozarena has maintained a steady form, which makes him a valuable player for any prop bet. His odds for hitting a home run are intriguing at +360, considering his power-hitting ability.
Opposing Analysis
The Mariners will be fielding Logan Gilbert as their starting pitcher. Gilbert has been excellent this season, boasting a 6-6 record with a 2.72 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP. He has struck out 132 batters in 139 innings, showing his ability to dominate hitters.
Given Gilbert's strong form, it will be challenging for Arozarena to excel, but his odds for doubles and hits might still be worth considering given his current form and consistency.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert (SEA) | 6-6 | 2.72 | 0.86 | 139.0 | 94 | 132 | 26 | 15 |
| Nick Pivetta (BOS) | 4-7 | 4.50 | 1.18 | 84.0 | 78 | 102 | 21 | 15 |
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Team Previews
Seattle Mariners
The Mariners boast a strong batting lineup, ranking 3rd in hits (931) and 8th in runs (499) with a team batting average of .258. Their pitching has also been solid, with a team ERA of 3.91. Their bullpen has secured 27 saves, ranking 11th in the league.
- Hitting: .258 AVG (3rd), 931 H (3rd), 499 R (8th)
- Relief Pitching: 27 SV (Tied-11th)
- Fielding: 78 E (1st)
- Starting Pitchers: 3.91 ERA (13th)
Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox have struggled offensively, ranking 30th in hits (761) and 28th in runs (412) with a team batting average of .218. However, their pitching staff has excelled, leading the league with a 3.35 ERA. Their bullpen has also been effective with 29 saves, ranking 8th in the league.
- Hitting: .218 AVG (29th), 761 H (30th), 412 R (28th)
- Relief Pitching: 29 SV (Tied-8th)
- Fielding: 59 E (Tied-9th)
- Starting Pitchers: 3.35 ERA (1st)
Team Injuries
Seattle Mariners
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Polanco | 2B | Knee | Day-to-day |
| J.P. Crawford | SS | Hand | 10-Day IL |
| Julio Rodriguez | CF | Ankle | 10-Day IL |
| Dominic Canzone | OF | Abductor | 10-Day IL |
| Sam Haggerty | OF | Achilles | 60-Day IL |
| Matt Brash | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Jackson Kowar | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
Boston Red Sox
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Mata | RP | Hamstring | 60-Day IL |
| Justin Slaten | RP | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Chris Martin | RP | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Triston Casas | 1B | Rib | 60-Day IL |
| Vaughn Grissom | 2B | Hamstring | 10-Day IL |
| Garrett Whitlock | SP | Oblique | 60-Day IL |
| Trevor Story | SS | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Liam Hendriks | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Chris Murphy | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Lucas Giolito | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
Seattle Mariners
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Houston | L 3-0 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Houston | L 4-2 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Houston | W 6-4 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Los Angeles | L 3-1 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Los Angeles | L 5-1 | L |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Los Angeles | L 2-1 | L |
| Fri, Jul 26 | @ Chicago | W 10-0 | W |
| Sat, Jul 27 | @ Chicago | W 6-3 | W |
| Sun, Jul 28 | @ Chicago | W 6-3 | W |
Boston Red Sox
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Los Angeles | L 4-1 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Los Angeles | L 7-6 F/11 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Los Angeles | L 9-6 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Colorado | L 9-8 F/12 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Colorado | W 6-0 | W |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Colorado | L 20-7 | L |
| Fri, Jul 26 | vs New York | W 9-7 | W |
| Sat, Jul 27 | vs New York | L 11-8 F/10 | L |
| Sun, Jul 28 | vs New York | L 8-2 | L |
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