MLB Player Props Wagers: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/26

MLB Player Props Wagers: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/26

Photo Credit: © Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Arizona Diamondbacks (53-50) will host the Pittsburgh Pirates (52-50) at Chase Field in Phoenix for the first game of a three-game series on Friday, July 26th at 9:40 PM EDT. The Diamondbacks are currently positioned third in the NL West, while the Pirates are holding the same spot in the NL Central. Both teams are looking to gain momentum as they vie for playoff spots in their respective divisions.

Arizona comes into this game with a 26-24 home record and has the ninth-best team slugging percentage in MLB at .410. They’ve been led offensively by Christian Walker, who has accumulated 43 extra-base hits, including 23 home runs. Over the past 10 games, Ketel Marte has been on a tear, going 15-for-36 with four home runs and 12 RBIs.

The Pirates have matched Arizona's 26-24 road record and have shown resilience with a 38-4 record when out-hitting their opponents. Connor Joe has been a key contributor with 18 doubles and seven home runs. Oneil Cruz has also been impressive, going 12-for-39 with five doubles and two home runs in his last 10 games.

Recent performances have been promising for both teams. The Diamondbacks have won seven of their last ten games, boasting a .246 batting average and a 3.33 ERA, outscoring opponents by 17 runs. Meanwhile, the Pirates have been even better, winning eight of their last ten games with a .256 batting average and an outstanding 2.10 ERA, outscoring opponents by 16 runs.

This series opener will feature a compelling pitching matchup between Luis Ortiz for the Pirates and Zac Gallen for the Diamondbacks. Ortiz holds a 5-2 record with a 2.57 ERA, while Gallen is 7-5 with a 3.64 ERA. Both pitchers will be crucial in determining the outcome of this game.

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Player Prop Odds

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- Geraldo Perdomo Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-150)
- Geraldo Perdomo Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+240)
- Geraldo Perdomo Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+135)
- Geraldo Perdomo Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+100)
- Geraldo Perdomo Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+220)

Player Analysis: Geraldo Perdomo

Geraldo Perdomo has been a vital player for the Diamondbacks this season. Although his overall batting average is modest, Perdomo has demonstrated an ability to get on base and produce in clutch situations. With his speed and contact ability, he is often a catalyst for the Diamondbacks' offense.

In recent games, Perdomo has shown improvement, particularly in getting base hits and scoring runs. This makes the over on his prop bets for hits and runs scored quite appealing, especially against a Pirates team that will be starting Luis Ortiz, who despite his solid numbers, is still relatively inexperienced.

Opposing Analysis: Luis Ortiz

Luis Ortiz has been one of the bright spots for the Pirates' pitching staff this season. With a 5-2 record and a 2.57 ERA, Ortiz has been effective in limiting opponents’ scoring opportunities. However, Ortiz has allowed some base runners, as indicated by his 1.11 WHIP, which could be an area where Perdomo might exploit.

Ortiz’s strikeout numbers (59 strikeouts in 73.2 innings) suggest he can miss bats, but contact hitters like Perdomo have a good chance to put the ball in play and leverage their speed on the base paths.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
L. Ortiz (PIT)	5-2	2.57	1.11	73.2	61	59	21	3
Z. Gallen (ARI)	7-5	3.64	1.25	81.2	75	80	27	8

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Team Previews

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates have been consistent offensively, ranking 8th in hits (879) and 3rd in runs scored (509) with a team batting average of .252. Their hitting has been spearheaded by players like Connor Joe and Oneil Cruz, who have contributed significantly in recent games.

Pitching-wise, the Pirates have a team ERA of 4.50, which places them 26th in the league. Their relief pitching has been a mixed bag, but Luis Ortiz has been a standout in the starting rotation.

Defensively, the Pirates have committed 42 errors, which ranks them 30th in MLB. This could be a vulnerability that the Diamondbacks might look to exploit.

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks have had a steady offense with a team slugging percentage of .410, ranking 9th in MLB. Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been pivotal in driving in runs and getting on base, making them a formidable lineup.

Their pitching staff has a collective ERA of 3.77, ranking them 11th in the league. Zac Gallen, with his 7-5 record and 3.64 ERA, will be looking to stifle the Pirates' hitters.

The Diamondbacks’ defense is slightly better than the Pirates, with 50 errors, placing them 20th in MLB.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
R. Borucki	RP	60-Day IL (tricep)
D. Moreta	RP	60-Day IL (elbow)
E. Rodriguez	SP	60-Day IL (shoulder)

Recent Games

Date	Opponent	Result	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	vs Philadelphia	W 8-7	W
Sat, Jul 20	vs Philadelphia	W 4-1	W
Sun, Jul 21	vs Philadelphia	L 6-0	L
Mon, Jul 22	vs St. Louis	W 2-1	W
Tue, Jul 23	vs St. Louis	L 2-1	L

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Prediction

Given the recent form of both teams and the pitching matchup, the Diamondbacks hold a slight edge. However, considering the specific prop bet for Geraldo Perdomo, the best value lies in betting on the over for hits and runs scored. Perdomo's ability to get on base and score runs, coupled with Luis Ortiz's tendency to allow base runners, makes this a promising wager.

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