Kingpin analysis

Cody Bellinger Player Props: Cardinals vs Cubs 8/4

Cody Bellinger Player Props: Cardinals vs Cubs 8/4
Cody Bellinger Player Props: Cardinals vs Cubs 8/4

Cody Bellinger Player Props: Cardinals vs Cubs 8/4

Game Summary

The St. Louis Cardinals will face off against the Chicago Cubs on August 4, 2024, at 7:10 PM EDT at Wrigley Field in Chicago. This matchup marks the continuation of their 13-game season series, with the Cardinals currently leading 7-5. The Cubs are coming off a thrilling win against the Cardinals on August 3, where they managed to clinch the last game 5-4, giving them a 2-1 series lead. The Cubs hold a record of 54-59 overall and are 29-26 at home, indicating a strong performance in front of their fans, especially when they don’t allow home runs, boasting a 24-15 record in such games. The Cardinals, with a season record of 57-54, have struggled recently, going 4-6 in their last ten games and allowing more runs than they have scored. Their performance on the road has been inconsistent, as indicated by a 28-29 record away from home. Both teams have shown offensive potential, with the Cubs leading the series in doubles and the Cardinals being strong when they score five or more runs. As we analyze individual performances, Cody Bellinger stands out for the Cubs with a .276 batting average, ranking him as one of the key players to watch in this matchup. The Cubs will be looking to maintain their momentum, while the Cardinals aim to even the series.

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Player Prop Odds

Cody Bellinger

  • Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+330.0), Under -525.0
  • Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+150.0), Under -205.0
  • Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+110.0), Under -150.0
  • Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-125.0), Under -110.0
  • Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+105.0), Under -145.0

Player Analysis

Cody Bellinger has been a significant contributor for the Chicago Cubs this season. Currently batting .276, he has recorded 16 doubles, 11 home runs, and 42 RBIs. Notably, Bellinger has a keen eye at the plate, with 27 walks this season, showcasing his ability to get on base. His recent form has been promising, with a strong showing in the past 10 games where he has managed to keep his batting average consistent. His ability to find gaps in the outfield makes him a viable candidate for the doubles prop, especially against a Cardinals lineup that has shown vulnerability against left-handed hitters.

Opposing Analysis

The Cardinals' starting pitcher Miles Mikolas has had a mixed season with an ERA of 4.99 and a WHIP of 1.23. He has allowed 133 hits over 124.1 innings, which lends to Bellinger's chances of capitalizing on any mistakes Mikolas might make. While Mikolas has a solid strikeout rate, the Cubs' lineup, led by Bellinger, has shown the capacity to put up runs when they connect well. Additionally, the Cardinals’ bullpen has struggled lately, which could offer more scoring opportunities late in the game.

Pitching Probables

Player W-L ERA Strikeouts
Miles Mikolas (STL) 8-8 4.99 83
Justin Steele (CHC) 2-5 3.38 98

Team Previews

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Overall Record: 57-54
  • Batting Average: .233 (24th in MLB)
  • Runs Scored: 472 (18th in MLB)
  • ERA: 3.78 (8th in MLB)
  • Recent Form: 4-6 in last 10 games

Chicago Cubs

  • Overall Record: 54-59
  • Batting Average: .246 (13th in MLB)
  • Runs Scored: 466 (22nd in MLB)
  • ERA: 4.06 (18th in MLB)
  • Recent Form: 5-5 in last 10 games

Team Injuries

Player Position Status
M. Siani CF Probable for Aug 4
A. Alzolay RP Out for the season

Recent Games

Team Opponent Result W/L
St. Louis Cardinals Chicago W5-4 W
St. Louis Cardinals Chicago L6-3 L
St. Louis Cardinals Chicago L5-4 L
Chicago Cubs St. Louis W5-4 W
Chicago Cubs St. Louis W6-3 W

Prediction

Given Cody Bellinger’s recent form and the matchups at play, I predict he will hit Over 0.5 RBIs (+150.0) in this game. With Mikolas on the mound for the Cardinals and the Cubs looking to capitalize on their offensive momentum, Bellinger is positioned well to drive in runs. His ability to hit in clutch situations, coupled with the Cardinals' struggles against left-handed hitting, makes this a favorable bet.
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Methodology and disclosure

Historical Kingpin articles preserve original body copy, authors, and publication dates. Structured pick or odds modules appear only when the source article provides them.

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