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MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Mariners vs White Sox 7/28

MLB Player Props Odds Analysis: Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox
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Photo Credit: © Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Seattle Mariners face off against the Chicago White Sox on July 28, 2023, at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois. This matchup is set to be an intriguing one as both teams are grappling with different trajectories this season. The Mariners are struggling with a 27-80 record, making them one of the weakest teams in the league. On the other hand, the White Sox are relatively better with a 55-51 record, fighting for a playoff spot.
Historically, the White Sox have had the upper hand in recent matchups against the Mariners. However, baseball is a game where anything can happen, and the Mariners will be looking to upset the odds and gain some momentum. The game will be played under mostly sunny skies with temperatures around 81°F, making it a perfect day for some exciting baseball action.
With Garrett Crochet (6-7, 3.07 ERA) likely starting for the Mariners and Bryce Miller (7-7, 3.41 ERA) taking the mound for the White Sox, the pitching duel promises to be a key factor in this game. Crochet has been a strikeout machine with 157 Ks this season, while Miller has been steady, keeping his ERA at a respectable 3.41.
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Player Prop Odds
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Eloy Jimenez Player Props:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+340)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+260)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+160)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+110)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-115)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+120)
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Player Analysis: Eloy Jimenez
Eloy Jimenez has been a consistent performer for the White Sox this season. With a batting average of .289, 15 home runs, and 55 RBIs, he is undoubtedly one of the key players in the lineup. His ability to hit for power and average makes him a constant threat to opposing pitchers. Jimenez has been particularly effective against left-handed pitchers, boasting an OPS of .950 in such matchups.
Given his recent form, betting on Jimenez to get over 1.5 hits (+260) or over 1.5 total bases (+120) seems like a promising option. The odds for Jimenez to score a run are also favorable at +110, considering his position in the batting order and his ability to get on base.
Opposing Analysis: Mariners Pitching
Garrett Crochet has been a standout pitcher for the Mariners, with an ERA of 3.07 and 157 strikeouts in just over 111 innings. However, the Mariners' overall pitching staff has struggled this season, ranked 29th in ERA (4.66) and 30th in wins (27). Crochet's dominant strikeout ability will be crucial, but the Mariners' bullpen has often been a weak link, allowing late-game collapses.
The Mariners' pitching staff has also been vulnerable to power hitters, conceding a significant number of home runs this season. This could play into Jimenez's strengths, making him a prime candidate for hitting the over on his total bases and hits props.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Crochet (SEA) | 6-7 | 3.07 | 157 |
| Bryce Miller (CWS) | 7-7 | 3.41 | 103 |
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Team Previews
Seattle Mariners
The Mariners have struggled mightily this season, especially on offense. They rank 29th in hits (758) and 30th in runs (324). The team's batting average of .217 is also second-worst in the league. Despite these offensive struggles, the Mariners have shown some resilience in their pitching, with standout performances from Garrett Crochet. However, the relief pitching has been a significant weakness, contributing to their league-high 79 losses.
Chicago White Sox
The White Sox have been more balanced this season. They rank 1st in ERA (3.38) and have a solid bullpen, contributing to their respectable record of 55-51. Offensively, the White Sox have been led by Eloy Jimenez, Josh Rojas, and Cal Raleigh. The team's hitting has been consistent, with a batting average of .235 and a total of 400 runs scored, ranking 28th. The White Sox will look to capitalize on the Mariners' weak pitching to improve their playoff chances.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| B. Woo | SP | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Aug 2 |
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Clevinger | SP | Neck | Out for the season |
| M. Foster | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
Recent Games
Seattle Mariners
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Houston | L 3-0 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Houston | L 4-2 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Houston | W 6-4 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Los Angeles | L 3-1 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Los Angeles | L 5-1 | L |
Chicago White Sox
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Kansas City | L 7-1 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Kansas City | L 6-1 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Kansas City | L 4-1 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Texas | L 4-3 (10) | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Texas | L 3-2 | L |
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Prediction
Based on the current form and matchups, betting on Eloy Jimenez to get over 1.5 total bases at +120 offers good value. Given the Mariners' pitching struggles and Jimenez's consistent performance, this prop bet appears favorable. Additionally, consider the over on Jimenez scoring a run at +110, as he is likely to contribute offensively in this matchup.
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